November 2022 Educational film // From Greek tragedy to IPO
The saga of an automotive giant
On the occasion of the historic IPO of the car manufacturer Porsche, Professor Jacquet draws a portrait of this legendary giant of the automobile world.
The film paints a portrait of the company’s founder, recounts his career and that of his family, whose members are often at loggerheads.
In conclusion, he makes a detailed financial analysis of the company and explains what the listing on the stock exchange will entail.
WEBVTT
1
00:00:07.500 --> 00:00:10.400
Hello and welcome to this educational film which is
2
00:00:10.400 --> 00:00:13.800
devoted to a famous company, which was recently
3
00:00:13.800 --> 00:00:16.400
listed and whose story so
4
00:00:16.400 --> 00:00:19.800
eventful that it looks like a Greek tragedy
5
00:00:19.800 --> 00:00:22.800
Porsche at the very beginning Port
6
00:00:22.800 --> 00:00:25.700
is a person an outstanding technical
7
00:00:25.700 --> 00:00:28.300
engineer fairly. No Porsche.
8
00:00:28.300 --> 00:00:32.200
He was born in 1875 as
9
00:00:31.200 --> 00:00:34.700
a young person because a worker
10
00:00:34.700 --> 00:00:37.600
in a cap and his name is Bella Edgar which
11
00:00:37.600 --> 00:00:40.300
we later become Brown buffery very
12
00:00:40.300 --> 00:00:43.700
well known company is so remarkable and talented
13
00:00:43.700 --> 00:00:46.700
that he's going to be quite quickly promoted
14
00:00:46.700 --> 00:00:49.000
as manager of the test center.
15
00:00:49.800 --> 00:00:52.500
He's going to promote plenty of Innovations and
16
00:00:52.500 --> 00:00:55.400
thanks to this Innovations the cause which are
17
00:00:55.400 --> 00:00:58.500
produced by the company are going to win plenty of races. So
18
00:00:58.500 --> 00:00:59.700
very successful.
19
00:01:00.500 --> 00:01:03.500
Trying to leave the company to join also a
20
00:01:03.500 --> 00:01:07.100
very well-known company Daimler in 1923
21
00:01:06.100 --> 00:01:09.500
a few years later is a technical
22
00:01:09.500 --> 00:01:12.200
direct or technical manager of the group
23
00:01:12.200 --> 00:01:16.800
and he's a member of the executive board extremely successful.
24
00:01:17.700 --> 00:01:20.300
At that time it receives a title and he's
25
00:01:20.300 --> 00:01:24.700
going to be very proud of this title is Doctor enginir
26
00:01:23.700 --> 00:01:26.400
on a race cars out
27
00:01:26.400 --> 00:01:30.500
from the technical horser of Stuttgart. He's
28
00:01:29.500 --> 00:01:32.500
going to be so proud of this title
29
00:01:32.500 --> 00:01:35.500
that it's going to be the name of his company the name
30
00:01:35.500 --> 00:01:39.000
of the company, which is today listener stock market but
31
00:01:38.300 --> 00:01:42.000
there will be some problems some conflicts with support because
32
00:01:41.400 --> 00:01:44.200
he wants to design a car
33
00:01:44.200 --> 00:01:48.100
which is a small where it's car compared with Mercedes and
34
00:01:47.100 --> 00:01:50.300
so on so forth there is a conflict and
35
00:01:50.300 --> 00:01:53.600
he's going to resign he's going to leave the company and
36
00:01:53.600 --> 00:01:56.500
join another campaign in the
37
00:01:56.500 --> 00:02:00.600
automobile business. The name was a company is Shire automobile.
38
00:02:00.600 --> 00:02:03.400
He's going to join 1929 not
39
00:02:03.400 --> 00:02:06.000
the very best moment to move from one job to the other
40
00:02:06.500 --> 00:02:09.200
because there's a crisis in Wall Street and the consequence will
41
00:02:09.200 --> 00:02:12.200
be the Great Depression style automobile will not
42
00:02:12.200 --> 00:02:15.200
survive for that and it's going to disappear. He's going to
43
00:02:15.200 --> 00:02:17.500
stop from scratch again and in 19
44
00:02:17.600 --> 00:02:20.800
31 it creates his own company. It is
45
00:02:20.800 --> 00:02:24.400
an independent office which is going to design cars
46
00:02:23.400 --> 00:02:27.100
for OEM for car manufacturers and
47
00:02:26.100 --> 00:02:29.500
also car under his own name.
48
00:02:29.500 --> 00:02:32.100
He wanted to design a small car you remember
49
00:02:32.100 --> 00:02:36.500
it was a cause of his resignation from diver. Adolf
50
00:02:35.500 --> 00:02:38.900
Hitler is going to give him the opportunity because
51
00:02:38.900 --> 00:02:42.100
he wants a small car. He wants
52
00:02:41.100 --> 00:02:44.800
a car for the people of fox Fagen
53
00:02:44.800 --> 00:02:47.200
in order to be Tech what had been done
54
00:02:47.200 --> 00:02:50.500
in Italian the fact five hundred.
55
00:02:50.500 --> 00:02:53.700
So it's going to create Beetle the
56
00:02:53.700 --> 00:02:57.600
folks wagon, which was born in 1935
57
00:02:56.600 --> 00:02:59.800
and it's going to be the tremendous success
58
00:02:59.800 --> 00:03:02.600
which you know the beetle we start it's all
59
00:03:02.600 --> 00:03:05.300
career. The wind is a terrible turbulence, which
60
00:03:05.300 --> 00:03:08.400
were created by World War 2. The company is going
61
00:03:08.400 --> 00:03:11.800
to interrupt it's activity at the end of the world and he's
62
00:03:11.800 --> 00:03:14.300
going to start again. Another Porsche name
63
00:03:14.300 --> 00:03:17.000
created by fairy portion is
64
00:03:17.800 --> 00:03:20.200
Fatten on Anton Ernest
65
00:03:20.200 --> 00:03:24.000
in 1947 the new Porsche IS
66
00:03:23.700 --> 00:03:26.500
designed and there will be now standing
67
00:03:26.500 --> 00:03:30.300
cars name is a three five six plus
68
00:03:29.300 --> 00:03:32.500
plenty of royalties coming from
69
00:03:32.500 --> 00:03:35.900
the Beatles Because the beetle is experiencing fantastic
70
00:03:35.900 --> 00:03:38.800
success and the patterns of The Beatles are
71
00:03:38.800 --> 00:03:41.200
owned by Porsche. So they are
72
00:03:41.200 --> 00:03:44.500
going to receive plenty of royalties to finance Innovation and
73
00:03:44.500 --> 00:03:47.500
growth at Porsche. Now, is it Legend is it
74
00:03:47.500 --> 00:03:50.800
reality? Who knows but it seems that fat no
75
00:03:50.800 --> 00:03:54.300
Porsche looking at the three 56 is
76
00:03:53.300 --> 00:03:56.200
so emotion over one
77
00:03:56.200 --> 00:03:59.100
by emotions that he will have a stroke and later on
78
00:03:59.100 --> 00:04:02.400
early 1951 is going to pass away now.
79
00:04:02.400 --> 00:04:05.500
I will now standing in engineer, but it
80
00:04:05.500 --> 00:04:08.900
was an outstanding Technical and commercial success as
81
00:04:08.900 --> 00:04:11.300
well. Not only the car business but also in
82
00:04:11.300 --> 00:04:14.400
the ironics the first hybrid car
83
00:04:14.400 --> 00:04:17.600
combining terrible on the electric and
84
00:04:17.900 --> 00:04:20.700
That it's so important was created
85
00:04:20.700 --> 00:04:23.800
by 39 Porsche. The name was a loner
86
00:04:23.800 --> 00:04:27.300
Porsche 1901. He
87
00:04:26.300 --> 00:04:29.900
also created an electric car a
88
00:04:29.900 --> 00:04:33.200
full electric car at that time when it
89
00:04:32.200 --> 00:04:35.300
was working for them there. He created
90
00:04:35.300 --> 00:04:38.500
plenty of new designs for Mercedes and
91
00:04:38.500 --> 00:04:41.700
Spence and Porsche as a company, but his
92
00:04:41.700 --> 00:04:44.900
son Ferry created the nine eleven
93
00:04:44.900 --> 00:04:47.300
the Fantastic Porsche car.
94
00:04:47.300 --> 00:04:50.700
Now, this is 911 is so important in the history of
95
00:04:50.700 --> 00:04:53.400
the company. That's it symbol. The
96
00:04:53.400 --> 00:04:56.800
teacher of Porsche on the stock market is p
97
00:04:56.800 --> 00:04:59.200
which stands for Porsche 911
98
00:04:59.900 --> 00:05:02.800
How many shares at ports nine
99
00:05:02.800 --> 00:05:05.600
hundred and eleven million shares
100
00:05:05.600 --> 00:05:09.700
divided into two parts 455.5 million
101
00:05:09.700 --> 00:05:13.800
all the nearest shares 455.5 million
102
00:05:13.800 --> 00:05:16.800
preferred shares. Now Porsche is
103
00:05:16.800 --> 00:05:19.900
a Founder that porschees a family in
104
00:05:19.900 --> 00:05:23.500
1903 fairly. No Porsche married, alloysia
105
00:05:22.500 --> 00:05:25.200
guys. They had a daughter
106
00:05:25.200 --> 00:05:28.800
in 1904 Louis and Louis married and
107
00:05:28.800 --> 00:05:31.400
Tom piersch. This is why you
108
00:05:31.400 --> 00:05:34.700
have a pH family and a Porsche family today
109
00:05:34.700 --> 00:05:38.000
cousins then fairly. Now
110
00:05:37.400 --> 00:05:40.600
Anton Ernest was born
111
00:05:40.600 --> 00:05:43.400
in 1909 and the nickname is
112
00:05:43.400 --> 00:05:46.200
very Porsche. And after World War
113
00:05:46.200 --> 00:05:50.900
2 Lewis is Volkswagen fairy
114
00:05:49.900 --> 00:05:52.500
is Porsche. There
115
00:05:52.500 --> 00:05:55.700
are two branches for the family. There are two causes that
116
00:05:55.700 --> 00:05:59.200
their relationship inside. The family is a
117
00:05:58.200 --> 00:05:59.800
great.
118
00:05:59.900 --> 00:06:02.800
Tragedy is here. That's right. The
119
00:06:02.800 --> 00:06:05.700
education is completely different. The lifestyle is
120
00:06:05.700 --> 00:06:08.600
completely different. Some are a little bit short
121
00:06:08.600 --> 00:06:11.800
of some are a little bit straight and rigorous
122
00:06:11.800 --> 00:06:15.100
and they just hate each other. Now the
123
00:06:14.100 --> 00:06:17.600
conflict is going to become paroxystic in
124
00:06:17.600 --> 00:06:20.300
2005 because Porsche will
125
00:06:20.300 --> 00:06:24.100
try to take over Volkswagen this year Porsche
126
00:06:23.100 --> 00:06:26.800
seven billion Euro turnover sales
127
00:06:26.800 --> 00:06:29.700
unravevenues buys 20% of
128
00:06:29.700 --> 00:06:32.400
Volkswagen shares and folks Fargo at
129
00:06:32.400 --> 00:06:35.200
that time. It's one hour five billion years turn over.
130
00:06:35.900 --> 00:06:39.200
to protect the company against potential hostile
131
00:06:38.200 --> 00:06:39.900
takeover, which
132
00:06:40.300 --> 00:06:44.000
is absolutely not founded because when you look at the equity
133
00:06:43.900 --> 00:06:46.200
portfolio and the shareholders of
134
00:06:46.200 --> 00:06:50.300
Volkswagen, you have a land of lower Saxony
135
00:06:49.300 --> 00:06:52.400
which controls with voting right
136
00:06:52.400 --> 00:06:55.200
time. So it's just to take the control and now
137
00:06:55.200 --> 00:06:57.100
in generate 2007.
138
00:06:58.700 --> 00:07:01.600
Porsche owns more than 30% of the
139
00:07:01.600 --> 00:07:04.400
company and the capital is extremely successful at
140
00:07:04.400 --> 00:07:07.900
that time. The profit is your are about six
141
00:07:07.900 --> 00:07:11.100
billion euros. So you understand that Porsche is
142
00:07:10.100 --> 00:07:13.900
financing the control of Volkswagen.
143
00:07:13.900 --> 00:07:16.600
We see it's old internally generated funds
144
00:07:16.600 --> 00:07:19.100
and profitability financial performance.
145
00:07:20.500 --> 00:07:23.600
Later on September 2008. They go
146
00:07:23.600 --> 00:07:26.000
beyond 35% But if you
147
00:07:26.300 --> 00:07:29.900
go beyond this level, you have to launch a takeover. You
148
00:07:29.900 --> 00:07:32.300
have to make an offer to the share orders to sell their
149
00:07:32.300 --> 00:07:32.700
shares.
150
00:07:33.200 --> 00:07:36.300
The offer is not going to be extremely generous but in
151
00:07:36.300 --> 00:07:39.600
January 2009 now Porsche has
152
00:07:39.600 --> 00:07:42.100
to control folks wagon with a little
153
00:07:42.100 --> 00:07:44.500
bit more than 50% of the shares.
154
00:07:45.300 --> 00:07:48.300
But 2000 is a difficult period because it
155
00:07:48.300 --> 00:07:51.300
is the explosion of the subprime crisis the stock market
156
00:07:51.300 --> 00:07:54.800
first macroeconomics then and what's
157
00:07:54.800 --> 00:07:57.200
going to happen Porsche has plenty of
158
00:07:57.200 --> 00:08:00.900
that in the balance sheet because the profit generated
159
00:08:00.900 --> 00:08:03.500
by the company was not enough to finance
160
00:08:03.500 --> 00:08:06.600
all these shared purchases. So they
161
00:08:06.600 --> 00:08:09.800
had to raise some debt. And in the meantime, the revenues
162
00:08:09.800 --> 00:08:12.900
are says Jared by Porsche are
163
00:08:12.900 --> 00:08:15.200
down for very simple reason. There is
164
00:08:15.200 --> 00:08:18.200
a crisis and nobody buys cars anymore. That is 9
165
00:08:18.200 --> 00:08:22.300
billion. Euros. That's too much the company's
166
00:08:21.300 --> 00:08:25.000
very much in the bills of Crisis and Volkswagen
167
00:08:24.200 --> 00:08:27.500
is going to receive the political support of
168
00:08:27.500 --> 00:08:29.300
the land of lower Saxony.
169
00:08:29.900 --> 00:08:32.700
And also German government at large
170
00:08:32.700 --> 00:08:35.700
so that they can counter attack and
171
00:08:35.700 --> 00:08:38.300
Volkswagen is going to try to take a control
172
00:08:38.300 --> 00:08:41.700
of Porsche which is going to be achieved in July
173
00:08:41.700 --> 00:08:44.300
2009. Now, it's no more
174
00:08:44.300 --> 00:08:47.600
Porsche who has a majority of Volkswagen. It's
175
00:08:47.600 --> 00:08:50.600
Volkswagen which controls Porsche if you
176
00:08:50.600 --> 00:08:54.300
look at the shareholders portfolio today Porsche
177
00:08:53.300 --> 00:08:57.600
automobile holding SE holds
178
00:08:56.600 --> 00:08:59.500
31.4% of the shed.
179
00:09:00.200 --> 00:09:03.300
But as a predominantly have voting rights
180
00:09:03.300 --> 00:09:06.400
shares they have more than 50% of
181
00:09:06.400 --> 00:09:10.200
the voting right other control some foreign
182
00:09:09.200 --> 00:09:13.800
institutional investors 27% Qatar.
183
00:09:14.300 --> 00:09:17.400
10.5% the state the land
184
00:09:17.400 --> 00:09:20.800
of lower Saxony 11.8% and
185
00:09:20.800 --> 00:09:23.400
some other institutional private investor.
186
00:09:23.400 --> 00:09:26.100
So what is funny to observe is that you have the
187
00:09:26.100 --> 00:09:30.200
all the his name is Portia which controls
188
00:09:29.200 --> 00:09:33.000
first wagon and Volkswagen which
189
00:09:32.600 --> 00:09:35.400
owed doctor in here on
190
00:09:35.400 --> 00:09:38.800
his cows are fair, you know Bosch action gazelle shaft.
191
00:09:39.400 --> 00:09:42.700
Which itself owns a brand Porsche which
192
00:09:42.700 --> 00:09:45.900
is so unknown before moving to the IPO itself.
193
00:09:45.900 --> 00:09:48.500
I would like to have a few words on
194
00:09:48.500 --> 00:09:51.600
performance and communication at Volkswagen
195
00:09:51.600 --> 00:09:54.400
Consolidated group the company in general
196
00:09:54.400 --> 00:09:57.700
report provides plenty of information about its
197
00:09:57.700 --> 00:10:00.100
financial performance starting with a
198
00:10:00.100 --> 00:10:02.500
famous weighted average cost of capital.
199
00:10:03.400 --> 00:10:06.600
How you calculate that cost of equity cost of
200
00:10:06.600 --> 00:10:09.500
that share faculty share of that cost of
201
00:10:09.500 --> 00:10:12.300
Faculty Government Bond rate, which is close to
202
00:10:12.300 --> 00:10:15.700
zero in 2020 and in 2021, and
203
00:10:15.700 --> 00:10:18.100
then you add an equity risk premium, which
204
00:10:18.100 --> 00:10:22.300
is the market which premium 7.5% multiplied by
205
00:10:22.300 --> 00:10:25.000
the systematic race coefficient, which is
206
00:10:25.300 --> 00:10:28.500
named the beta which is very much about the sensitivity of
207
00:10:28.500 --> 00:10:31.200
the values of company to what happens to
208
00:10:31.200 --> 00:10:32.800
macro economic conditions.
209
00:10:33.500 --> 00:10:36.900
When the bedtime is more than one there is overreaction and
210
00:10:36.900 --> 00:10:39.700
a reaction if it is less than one in this
211
00:10:39.700 --> 00:10:43.400
case. It's 1.16 in 2021.
212
00:10:42.400 --> 00:10:45.300
What does it mean it means that you're
213
00:10:45.300 --> 00:10:49.800
going to add to the government bone rate 7.5% multiplied
214
00:10:48.800 --> 00:10:51.500
by 1.16. So
215
00:10:51.500 --> 00:10:54.000
beyond the 7.5% you have a
216
00:10:54.100 --> 00:10:57.100
kind of additional risk premium, which is
217
00:10:57.100 --> 00:11:00.500
due to the company. It's leverage. It's business
218
00:11:00.500 --> 00:11:03.600
operations and the 1.2% on
219
00:11:03.600 --> 00:11:07.100
top of the 7.5. Is it Factor 0.16
220
00:11:06.100 --> 00:11:09.500
on top of one multiplied by
221
00:11:09.500 --> 00:11:13.700
7.5% It's 1.2% Then
222
00:11:13.700 --> 00:11:16.500
your other cause of equity capital and you
223
00:11:16.500 --> 00:11:19.400
have the cost of that which is interest rate after tax because
224
00:11:19.400 --> 00:11:22.100
the interest expense is as you know,
225
00:11:22.100 --> 00:11:23.900
deductible from the taxable income.
226
00:11:24.700 --> 00:11:27.200
What else do you need share for equity share
227
00:11:27.200 --> 00:11:31.200
of that share faculty that's important to know to search
228
00:11:30.200 --> 00:11:33.600
share of that one, sir. We'll use
229
00:11:33.600 --> 00:11:36.100
this figures a little bit later at the
230
00:11:36.100 --> 00:11:39.900
end of the day the way that average cost of capital in 2020
231
00:11:39.900 --> 00:11:42.100
or 2021 World a bit more
232
00:11:42.100 --> 00:11:46.100
than 6% 6.2% in 2021.
233
00:11:45.100 --> 00:11:48.600
Now let me propose you some comments about
234
00:11:48.600 --> 00:11:51.300
the calculations of what the formula is.
235
00:11:51.300 --> 00:11:55.000
Okay, waited average cost of capital very often.
236
00:11:54.200 --> 00:11:57.600
The problem is in the parameters themselves.
237
00:11:58.400 --> 00:12:01.300
Before we get to the parameters, there's something quite
238
00:12:01.300 --> 00:12:05.100
interesting to observe the company names specific
239
00:12:04.100 --> 00:12:07.500
risk. What is named by
240
00:12:07.500 --> 00:12:11.000
corporate? Final Theory systematic you remember
241
00:12:10.400 --> 00:12:13.500
that specific is ideal syncretic.
242
00:12:13.500 --> 00:12:17.300
It's a risk which disappears through diversification when
243
00:12:16.300 --> 00:12:19.800
you build a portfolio of assets the
244
00:12:19.800 --> 00:12:23.000
one which remains is a systematic risk again
245
00:12:22.600 --> 00:12:25.400
sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions.
246
00:12:25.400 --> 00:12:28.900
Okay. Now, what about the parameters? There's
247
00:12:28.900 --> 00:12:31.800
a very important one which is a beta and
248
00:12:31.800 --> 00:12:34.400
the company says for the automotive division of
249
00:12:34.400 --> 00:12:37.400
the auto body division. It's 1.60. But
250
00:12:37.400 --> 00:12:40.700
when you look at different websites to just Financial
251
00:12:40.700 --> 00:12:43.400
Times or Yahoo! Finance, how much do
252
00:12:43.400 --> 00:12:45.200
you get about 1.4?
253
00:12:46.600 --> 00:12:50.000
A better of a group is awaited average
254
00:12:49.600 --> 00:12:52.700
beta of the Strategic business
255
00:12:52.700 --> 00:12:54.000
units of the companies.
256
00:12:54.600 --> 00:12:58.200
We've got off sbus. Do you have at Volkswagen you
257
00:12:57.200 --> 00:13:00.400
have the automotive business and you're also a
258
00:13:00.400 --> 00:13:03.800
very big one which is financial services financial services. It's
259
00:13:03.800 --> 00:13:07.000
about specialized customer financing for
260
00:13:06.500 --> 00:13:10.300
this kind of industry is a better speaking a
261
00:13:09.300 --> 00:13:12.400
little bit more than one not much
262
00:13:12.400 --> 00:13:15.500
more than one. So if you combine the car business
263
00:13:15.500 --> 00:13:18.400
and the financial services in the street, you have
264
00:13:18.400 --> 00:13:21.200
a better which is a bit more than what a beta
265
00:13:21.200 --> 00:13:24.600
which is supposedly when you look at comparable companies
266
00:13:24.600 --> 00:13:28.200
as they say, yeah or report 1.60 and
267
00:13:27.200 --> 00:13:30.300
the average of 1.16 and one
268
00:13:30.300 --> 00:13:33.800
should be one point four which of course doesn't work. Of
269
00:13:33.800 --> 00:13:36.400
course, there's a drug business or so inside but
270
00:13:36.400 --> 00:13:39.200
it does not count for the difference between these two.
271
00:13:39.200 --> 00:13:42.900
So you understand that it's a little bit strange. This
272
00:13:42.900 --> 00:13:45.700
is calculation. Someone very interesting information
273
00:13:45.700 --> 00:13:48.100
provided by the government. See how many profit
274
00:13:48.800 --> 00:13:52.100
You remember the economic value added return
275
00:13:51.100 --> 00:13:55.000
on Capital? Let's cost of capital for the
276
00:13:54.200 --> 00:13:58.100
automotive division. What do you do you calculate the operating
277
00:13:57.100 --> 00:14:00.400
income before or after taxes?
278
00:14:00.400 --> 00:14:05.100
This case it provide after tax, which is 11.70
279
00:14:03.100 --> 00:14:07.000
something billion and you
280
00:14:06.100 --> 00:14:09.300
divide that by the average invested capital.
281
00:14:10.300 --> 00:14:13.600
Non camera assets working capital requirement on a
282
00:14:13.600 --> 00:14:16.400
few additional 6, but when you divide the first figure about
283
00:14:16.400 --> 00:14:19.800
the second one, which is when I have 13 billion you get
284
00:14:19.800 --> 00:14:22.300
a return on Capital after tax, which is
285
00:14:22.300 --> 00:14:23.300
10.5%
286
00:14:24.300 --> 00:14:27.500
And you remember the walk is 6.2. So the
287
00:14:27.500 --> 00:14:30.500
company is profitable the performance is positive
288
00:14:30.500 --> 00:14:34.000
and the economic profit in percentage terms.
289
00:14:33.600 --> 00:14:37.100
He's returned Capital. Let's go start capitalist 10.4
290
00:14:36.100 --> 00:14:40.400
minus 6.2. So it's 4.2%
291
00:14:39.400 --> 00:14:43.000
the companies why profitable
292
00:14:42.600 --> 00:14:45.400
in a business in an industry, which is
293
00:14:45.400 --> 00:14:46.800
quite tough industry.
294
00:14:47.900 --> 00:14:50.600
Now when you taxi operating profit
295
00:14:50.600 --> 00:14:53.200
after tax again and you deduct from
296
00:14:53.200 --> 00:14:57.100
that the total cost of financing, which is invested Capital multiplied by
297
00:14:56.100 --> 00:14:59.300
the weighted average cost of capital.
298
00:15:00.200 --> 00:15:04.000
You get no pet what is generated by operations Minus
299
00:15:03.200 --> 00:15:06.100
cost of financing, which is promised to
300
00:15:06.100 --> 00:15:08.500
the investors and you get the economic profit.
301
00:15:09.300 --> 00:15:12.800
Out otherwise also to take the rose day after tax minus or
302
00:15:12.800 --> 00:15:15.600
walk which you multiply by the invested capital. And
303
00:15:15.600 --> 00:15:19.700
in this case you have an economic profit, which is 4.7 billion
304
00:15:19.700 --> 00:15:23.000
Euro. So the company is communicating any
305
00:15:22.500 --> 00:15:25.200
report that the automotive division is
306
00:15:25.200 --> 00:15:28.700
extremely performing now. We need to calculate a
307
00:15:28.700 --> 00:15:29.600
little bit further.
308
00:15:30.500 --> 00:15:34.100
When we calculated no walk. We say debt
309
00:15:33.100 --> 00:15:36.200
Equity cost of debt cost of
310
00:15:36.200 --> 00:15:39.400
equity and that is supposed to be 33% of
311
00:15:39.400 --> 00:15:43.100
the invested Capital. So it takes invested Capital One hundred
312
00:15:42.100 --> 00:15:45.500
and thirteen billion you multiply by one sir,
313
00:15:45.500 --> 00:15:48.200
and you get 38 billion. So the death of
314
00:15:48.200 --> 00:15:50.200
the automotive business is 38 billion.
315
00:15:51.200 --> 00:15:55.000
Now when you look at the Consolidated balance sheet of Volkswagen are
316
00:15:54.100 --> 00:15:57.500
gay you have a financial debt
317
00:15:57.500 --> 00:16:00.800
net of cash which represents and 48
318
00:16:00.800 --> 00:16:02.700
billion, which is quite a lot.
319
00:16:03.500 --> 00:16:07.100
Now 38 billion of that is Automotive business.
320
00:16:06.100 --> 00:16:09.600
The rest is 148 minus
321
00:16:09.600 --> 00:16:12.400
38, which is 110 million and why
322
00:16:12.400 --> 00:16:15.700
is a gearing very high why is indepness very
323
00:16:15.700 --> 00:16:19.000
high because there's a financial services business. Now
324
00:16:18.300 --> 00:16:21.300
when you look at the assets side of the balance,
325
00:16:21.300 --> 00:16:24.400
it was a financial receivable as long term and short term
326
00:16:24.400 --> 00:16:27.800
which in total represent why had 140
327
00:16:27.800 --> 00:16:30.400
billion euros. This is finance by debt
328
00:16:30.400 --> 00:16:33.800
and the equity of the financial services activity.
329
00:16:33.800 --> 00:16:36.200
If you take us an assumption that the
330
00:16:36.200 --> 00:16:39.000
one-handed and 10 billion is fully allocated to the
331
00:16:39.700 --> 00:16:42.000
financing of the receivables. Then you have
332
00:16:42.600 --> 00:16:45.300
one hand 140, which is 100 and 10 dead plus 30
333
00:16:45.300 --> 00:16:48.400
Equity of the financial services activity.
334
00:16:49.600 --> 00:16:52.200
Is it consistent with what is communicated by the
335
00:16:52.200 --> 00:16:55.400
company? Yes, because the company says a return
336
00:16:55.400 --> 00:16:58.300
on Equity before tax of the financial
337
00:16:58.300 --> 00:17:00.700
services business is about 17%
338
00:17:01.500 --> 00:17:04.200
Now they will also provide the profit before tax, which
339
00:17:04.200 --> 00:17:04.700
is six.
340
00:17:05.400 --> 00:17:08.500
To the I6 by 30 you get a 20%
341
00:17:08.500 --> 00:17:11.100
calculation which is quite close to
342
00:17:11.100 --> 00:17:14.400
the success. You should divide 6 by 30 you get
343
00:17:14.400 --> 00:17:17.400
20% before tax return equity for
344
00:17:17.400 --> 00:17:20.100
the financial services division. She's quite
345
00:17:20.100 --> 00:17:23.100
consistent. So this calculations seem to be a little bit
346
00:17:23.100 --> 00:17:23.500
reasonable.
347
00:17:24.400 --> 00:17:27.000
Now, let's go back to exit the equity which is
348
00:17:27.800 --> 00:17:31.200
allocated to the automotive division is 76 billion
349
00:17:31.200 --> 00:17:33.800
how you calculate that you take the same invested capital?
350
00:17:34.700 --> 00:17:37.400
And you multiply that by two thirds because you remember
351
00:17:37.400 --> 00:17:41.100
that the one hybrid uncertainty billion of finals Equity
352
00:17:40.100 --> 00:17:44.100
to search that one, sir, seven six
353
00:17:43.100 --> 00:17:46.800
billion. Now if you mix a song of the equity which
354
00:17:46.800 --> 00:17:49.900
is allocated to the automotive 76 and
355
00:17:49.900 --> 00:17:52.300
the equity which is allocated to the finals or
356
00:17:52.300 --> 00:17:55.600
Services business. So do we just calculate we
357
00:17:55.600 --> 00:17:57.000
get to one house six billion?
358
00:17:57.800 --> 00:18:00.700
The new group equities not 1006 billion.
359
00:18:00.700 --> 00:18:03.900
It is 100 and 46 billion,
360
00:18:03.900 --> 00:18:06.100
which is quite a lot.
361
00:18:06.900 --> 00:18:09.500
At the end of the day you understand that there
362
00:18:09.500 --> 00:18:13.200
are 40 billion euros which are missing in the calculation. And
363
00:18:12.200 --> 00:18:15.100
the question is where does it
364
00:18:15.100 --> 00:18:15.500
come from?
365
00:18:16.800 --> 00:18:19.300
You don't have the answer. So you understand that the company
366
00:18:19.300 --> 00:18:22.700
is communicating quite a lot on its Financial metrics, but
367
00:18:22.700 --> 00:18:25.600
sometimes it's a little bit difficult to understand what's
368
00:18:25.600 --> 00:18:28.500
behind the figures and this might be an
369
00:18:28.500 --> 00:18:28.600
issue.
370
00:18:29.500 --> 00:18:32.800
This issue can be reflected in the
371
00:18:32.800 --> 00:18:36.000
financial and stock market metrics of
372
00:18:35.100 --> 00:18:36.200
the company.
373
00:18:37.400 --> 00:18:40.800
You remember that the automotive business is jury duty
374
00:18:40.800 --> 00:18:44.500
and economic profit beyond the Walk of 4.7
375
00:18:43.500 --> 00:18:46.700
billion company the
376
00:18:46.700 --> 00:18:49.400
business the division is performing the
377
00:18:49.400 --> 00:18:52.400
financial services business is generating a return
378
00:18:52.400 --> 00:18:56.700
equity which before taxes about 17% it
379
00:18:55.700 --> 00:18:58.500
certainly much more than the expected
380
00:18:58.500 --> 00:18:59.500
return on equity.
381
00:19:00.300 --> 00:19:03.700
And so at the end of the day, you have two men businesses which are
382
00:19:03.700 --> 00:19:06.400
both of that very profitable.
383
00:19:07.400 --> 00:19:10.300
Performance is a source of value. So if you are
384
00:19:10.300 --> 00:19:13.200
performing very well, you should create value. How do
385
00:19:13.200 --> 00:19:16.600
you measure the value which is created or destroyed by a
386
00:19:16.600 --> 00:19:19.400
company. It's quite simple. You look at
387
00:19:19.400 --> 00:19:22.800
the stock market price. The
388
00:19:22.800 --> 00:19:25.400
stock market gives you the value of equity
389
00:19:25.400 --> 00:19:28.000
and the market capitalization. If you
390
00:19:28.300 --> 00:19:31.400
add to that that you get the entire price value and what
391
00:19:31.400 --> 00:19:34.700
is interesting is to compare the stock market value and
392
00:19:34.700 --> 00:19:35.700
the Book value.
393
00:19:36.900 --> 00:19:39.900
And at the end of the day the company's communicating
394
00:19:39.900 --> 00:19:42.800
not only on its Financial Matrix, but
395
00:19:42.800 --> 00:19:45.900
is communicating on the fact that the market
396
00:19:45.900 --> 00:19:48.100
value of equity represents. If you look at
397
00:19:48.100 --> 00:19:51.300
the last five years between 0.6 and
398
00:19:51.300 --> 00:19:54.700
0.8 between 60 and 80% of the
399
00:19:54.700 --> 00:19:55.400
book equity.
400
00:19:56.500 --> 00:19:59.400
It's a values a company is less and what shows in the
401
00:19:59.400 --> 00:20:02.600
book it means that it's very distraction. So it's permanent and
402
00:20:02.600 --> 00:20:05.600
significant value destruction. When in
403
00:20:05.600 --> 00:20:08.600
the meantime the performance looks positive you say that
404
00:20:08.600 --> 00:20:11.500
there's a kind of creativity. Yeah. Those are
405
00:20:11.500 --> 00:20:14.900
company is as it is communicated performing
406
00:20:14.900 --> 00:20:17.600
at the much higher rate. That was a
407
00:20:17.600 --> 00:20:18.700
stock market is suggesting.
408
00:20:19.500 --> 00:20:22.600
It might come from communication and governance
409
00:20:22.600 --> 00:20:25.800
will discuss later now. Let's start in
410
00:20:25.800 --> 00:20:28.300
the world of the stock market metrics.
411
00:20:28.800 --> 00:20:31.300
You remember there are some multiples which are quite well
412
00:20:31.300 --> 00:20:34.500
known price earning stock price divided by
413
00:20:34.500 --> 00:20:35.500
earnings per share.
414
00:20:36.100 --> 00:20:39.700
The stock price of the company represents five times the
415
00:20:39.700 --> 00:20:43.200
earnings per share Enterprise Value market capitalization
416
00:20:42.200 --> 00:20:45.400
plus net Financial Tech the Enterprise
417
00:20:45.400 --> 00:20:48.600
Value represents seven years seven
418
00:20:48.600 --> 00:20:51.600
times the earnings before interest access
419
00:20:51.600 --> 00:20:54.400
to Precision advertisation to cash operating profit.
420
00:20:54.400 --> 00:20:57.100
They're good at the end of the day. It does not
421
00:20:57.100 --> 00:21:00.500
show a very big confidence in the performance and in
422
00:21:00.500 --> 00:21:03.600
the ability of the company to grow but the financial
423
00:21:03.600 --> 00:21:06.900
structure itself is quite heavy
424
00:21:06.900 --> 00:21:09.900
because net Financial net
425
00:21:09.900 --> 00:21:13.700
represents four times those there
426
00:21:13.700 --> 00:21:17.200
is a high gearing High financial leverage the
427
00:21:16.200 --> 00:21:20.200
four months according to the multiples. He's
428
00:21:19.200 --> 00:21:23.100
quite average and gross
429
00:21:22.100 --> 00:21:26.200
expectations are not very high. So you
430
00:21:25.200 --> 00:21:28.700
understand the markets will be gloomy about but
431
00:21:28.700 --> 00:21:31.800
slogan our game now after we discuss all
432
00:21:31.800 --> 00:21:34.300
let's go back to the transaction itself on the
433
00:21:34.300 --> 00:21:36.000
listing of Porsche you remember
434
00:21:36.300 --> 00:21:36.700
what I say
435
00:21:37.200 --> 00:21:40.600
There are nine hundred and eleven million shares
436
00:21:40.600 --> 00:21:43.400
and Porsche divided split into
437
00:21:43.400 --> 00:21:46.300
two halves preferred stock.
438
00:21:46.300 --> 00:21:50.200
No voting right 455.5 million.
439
00:21:51.100 --> 00:21:53.600
And ordinary shares with voting rights.
440
00:21:54.300 --> 00:21:57.400
As preferred shares the preference shares.
441
00:21:57.400 --> 00:22:00.300
They don't have the voting right are they have
442
00:22:00.300 --> 00:22:03.000
a higher dividend? So they receive a dividend which is
443
00:22:03.100 --> 00:22:06.900
a dividend received by the ordinary ratio orders plus zero point
444
00:22:06.900 --> 00:22:09.500
zero one Euros, which is ex
445
00:22:09.500 --> 00:22:12.300
religion. What's going to happen when the capital
446
00:22:12.300 --> 00:22:16.000
is listed 25% of the preferred Shares
447
00:22:15.600 --> 00:22:18.700
are going to be listed including the
448
00:22:18.700 --> 00:22:21.200
offer allotment though. What does
449
00:22:21.200 --> 00:22:24.500
it means that one half percent of 14 rights
450
00:22:24.500 --> 00:22:27.500
of Porsche are still according to
451
00:22:27.500 --> 00:22:30.500
this arrangement in the Volkswagen at
452
00:22:30.500 --> 00:22:34.600
gay company, but before the ipu Volkswagen is
453
00:22:33.600 --> 00:22:36.900
going to sell 25% of
454
00:22:36.900 --> 00:22:39.700
you all the generation including voting
455
00:22:39.700 --> 00:22:43.100
right plus one so that you have the
456
00:22:42.100 --> 00:22:45.300
blocking minority in an
457
00:22:45.300 --> 00:22:48.400
extraordinary Ratio or a meeting and it's going to sell these yes
458
00:22:48.400 --> 00:22:51.500
to the Monarch happening Porsche s e
459
00:22:51.500 --> 00:22:54.100
the Family holding at which
460
00:22:54.800 --> 00:22:57.800
The price which is going to be offered for the preferred
461
00:22:57.800 --> 00:23:00.600
shares plus the premium which represents
462
00:23:00.600 --> 00:23:03.300
the fact that the ordinary shares the other 4G right
463
00:23:03.300 --> 00:23:06.400
as opposed to the preferred yet. So premium is
464
00:23:06.400 --> 00:23:09.500
7.5% So this is
465
00:23:09.500 --> 00:23:11.600
a value of the voting right?
466
00:23:12.400 --> 00:23:15.900
Which is exceptionally low Corporate Finance
467
00:23:15.900 --> 00:23:19.000
academics have extensively published
468
00:23:18.800 --> 00:23:21.300
on the difference in the value
469
00:23:21.300 --> 00:23:24.200
of all generations with voting rights and
470
00:23:24.200 --> 00:23:27.300
prefer chairs or preferences without voting. Right
471
00:23:27.300 --> 00:23:30.400
and the difference is value is very often 20
472
00:23:30.400 --> 00:23:34.100
or 30 sometimes 50% not
473
00:23:33.100 --> 00:23:36.600
exactly seven point five percent. So
474
00:23:36.600 --> 00:23:39.100
the price which was asked to
475
00:23:39.100 --> 00:23:42.800
Porsche to pray for the voting. What is quite
476
00:23:42.800 --> 00:23:45.800
low. How much is going to be cashed in Bible.
477
00:23:45.800 --> 00:23:48.400
The offer price was a preferences
478
00:23:48.400 --> 00:23:51.600
going to be 82.5 Euros per
479
00:23:51.600 --> 00:23:54.200
share you add 7.5% to
480
00:23:54.200 --> 00:23:57.800
that and you are the price paid by portishe to buy
481
00:23:57.800 --> 00:24:00.400
the port shares sold by
482
00:24:00.400 --> 00:24:04.600
those bug and are gay and you get 88.69
483
00:24:03.600 --> 00:24:06.500
Euros per share your multiplied,
484
00:24:06.500 --> 00:24:10.100
but the number of shares and it is about 10.1 billion
485
00:24:09.100 --> 00:24:12.000
euros cash in Bible.
486
00:24:12.300 --> 00:24:15.300
Wagon from Porsche SE the Family
487
00:24:15.300 --> 00:24:18.900
holding now the preferred shares as I told you where so
488
00:24:18.900 --> 00:24:21.400
for 82.5 Euros in September.
489
00:24:21.400 --> 00:24:25.300
The price range was 76.5 age
490
00:24:24.300 --> 00:24:27.000
2.5. So at the
491
00:24:27.300 --> 00:24:30.300
end of the day what wall accepted selected was a
492
00:24:30.300 --> 00:24:33.000
top of the price range 82.5
493
00:24:34.200 --> 00:24:38.500
then Volkswagen sold 100 million shares
494
00:24:37.500 --> 00:24:40.500
at 82.5 to
495
00:24:40.500 --> 00:24:44.300
the public. It's represents 9.4 billion
496
00:24:43.300 --> 00:24:45.500
euros.
497
00:24:46.600 --> 00:24:50.600
Today the stock price is 100 and 2.5 Euros.
498
00:24:49.600 --> 00:24:53.000
So you understand that the
499
00:24:52.200 --> 00:24:56.100
price as increased by 20 euros
500
00:24:55.100 --> 00:24:58.000
per preferred. Yes. This is quite
501
00:24:58.000 --> 00:24:58.600
successful.
502
00:24:59.500 --> 00:25:03.000
And today the value of Porsche is on the
503
00:25:02.200 --> 00:25:05.600
stock market 98 billion euros
504
00:25:05.600 --> 00:25:08.900
when they value force of market capitalization of
505
00:25:08.900 --> 00:25:11.800
Volkswagen. He's unless 76
506
00:25:11.800 --> 00:25:14.200
billion. So Port is now worth
507
00:25:14.200 --> 00:25:17.400
much more than it's more that company. Now if
508
00:25:17.400 --> 00:25:20.400
you combine the two transactions the sales
509
00:25:20.400 --> 00:25:23.800
are shares on the IPO the preferred Chase what
510
00:25:23.800 --> 00:25:27.200
were the proceeds which were cashed in by Volkswagen?
511
00:25:28.300 --> 00:25:31.800
9.4 billion from the IPO selling
512
00:25:31.800 --> 00:25:33.200
the preferred shares to the market.
513
00:25:34.200 --> 00:25:37.700
10.1 billion from selling the ordinary shares
514
00:25:37.700 --> 00:25:41.500
to Porsche as is this is a solve of 19.5
515
00:25:40.500 --> 00:25:43.500
billion euros, which is
516
00:25:43.500 --> 00:25:46.300
quite a lot of money the question is
517
00:25:46.300 --> 00:25:49.000
that why do you do with this cash, which is now in the
518
00:25:49.300 --> 00:25:52.300
bank account distribute almost 50% of that.
519
00:25:53.400 --> 00:25:56.900
December 16, there will be an extraordinary
520
00:25:56.900 --> 00:25:59.500
shareholder meeting which is going to of course
521
00:25:59.500 --> 00:26:02.800
approve something which is proposed today, which is
522
00:26:02.800 --> 00:26:06.400
to pay an exceptional divided unto the Volkswagen shareholders
523
00:26:05.400 --> 00:26:08.900
and this extraordinary dividend
524
00:26:08.900 --> 00:26:12.100
represents 9.55 billion euros,
525
00:26:11.100 --> 00:26:14.200
almost half of the
526
00:26:14.200 --> 00:26:17.700
19.5 billion collected by
527
00:26:17.700 --> 00:26:18.400
the company.
528
00:26:19.300 --> 00:26:22.500
Now Porsche SE is a shield
529
00:26:22.500 --> 00:26:25.500
Volkswagen. They have more than 30% of
530
00:26:25.500 --> 00:26:28.700
the shares who are going to receive more than 30% of
531
00:26:28.700 --> 00:26:32.300
this extraordinary dividend this exceptional dividend.
532
00:26:31.300 --> 00:26:34.900
It's going to be more than three billion.
533
00:26:34.900 --> 00:26:37.500
So they pay attention billion and they
534
00:26:37.500 --> 00:26:40.000
receives Rebuilder. The net of it is 7 billion
535
00:26:40.900 --> 00:26:43.600
which quite significantly reduces the
536
00:26:43.600 --> 00:26:43.800
bill.
537
00:26:44.600 --> 00:26:46.400
Isn't it an interesting statement?
538
00:26:47.400 --> 00:26:51.300
Now what were the alternatives for Volkswagen of
539
00:26:50.300 --> 00:26:53.700
returning the cash to
540
00:26:53.700 --> 00:26:56.200
shareholders their chance? It was investing in
541
00:26:56.200 --> 00:26:57.300
business operations.
542
00:26:57.900 --> 00:27:01.300
You can and or repented to
543
00:27:00.300 --> 00:27:03.200
gain some flexibility and the ability
544
00:27:03.200 --> 00:27:06.300
to invest and or invest in your
545
00:27:06.300 --> 00:27:09.700
business operations in innovation in capacity in
546
00:27:09.700 --> 00:27:12.500
productivity something which makes a company be stronger
547
00:27:12.500 --> 00:27:13.500
and more competitive.
548
00:27:14.400 --> 00:27:18.400
So there were some strategy and business maternities. They
549
00:27:17.400 --> 00:27:20.300
decided to return 50% of
550
00:27:20.300 --> 00:27:23.600
the cash to the shareholder. If you look at Porsche as
551
00:27:23.600 --> 00:27:26.200
it is now almost standing alone.
552
00:27:26.200 --> 00:27:30.300
What are the Matrix The Matrix are quite positive. The
553
00:27:29.300 --> 00:27:32.600
company is a big company. So he's Rebellion
554
00:27:32.600 --> 00:27:35.400
your sales in 2021 and
555
00:27:35.400 --> 00:27:38.100
growing the return on says operating in
556
00:27:38.100 --> 00:27:42.000
calm divided by revenues commercial performance 20% Yeah
557
00:27:41.900 --> 00:27:44.700
the return on Capital after tax.
558
00:27:44.700 --> 00:27:47.500
You remember the calculate here return on investment
559
00:27:47.500 --> 00:27:50.700
origin Capital after that about 20% level.
560
00:27:50.700 --> 00:27:53.400
So there's a company's doing very well. It's a
561
00:27:53.400 --> 00:27:57.700
strong company, which is very profitable the market cap. Remember 198
562
00:27:56.700 --> 00:27:59.500
billion euros. So
563
00:27:59.500 --> 00:28:02.900
it's a very big market capitalization the Enterprise
564
00:28:02.900 --> 00:28:05.400
Value, which is Market capitalist that's represents
565
00:28:05.400 --> 00:28:09.400
about three times the capital employed. It's
566
00:28:08.400 --> 00:28:11.900
a market to book of three, which
567
00:28:11.900 --> 00:28:13.600
is value creation.
568
00:28:14.400 --> 00:28:17.600
They have a competitor. Very one on
569
00:28:17.600 --> 00:28:20.300
one whose name is Ferrari Ferrari was
570
00:28:20.300 --> 00:28:22.200
listed in 2015.
571
00:28:23.300 --> 00:28:26.600
What are their 2021 says Four Points three
572
00:28:26.600 --> 00:28:29.700
billion euros, so it's much smaller than
573
00:28:29.700 --> 00:28:32.600
Porsche. But what are the financial metrics
574
00:28:32.600 --> 00:28:35.500
return on says operating income to
575
00:28:35.500 --> 00:28:38.900
say if you remember it was 20% for Porsche. It's 25% for
576
00:28:38.900 --> 00:28:41.400
Ferrari quite the same order of magnitude.
577
00:28:42.200 --> 00:28:46.300
The return on Capital after tax for Porsche Automotive
578
00:28:45.300 --> 00:28:48.400
division was 20% The return
579
00:28:48.400 --> 00:28:51.900
Capital before tax calculated for Ferrari
580
00:28:51.900 --> 00:28:54.700
is 30% of the tax. It's close
581
00:28:54.700 --> 00:28:57.400
to 20% for roughly the same Matrix.
582
00:28:58.200 --> 00:29:01.500
But you remember that Ferraris merch smaller
583
00:29:01.500 --> 00:29:03.200
than portions of revenues.
584
00:29:03.900 --> 00:29:06.200
But it's not exactly it's scale in terms
585
00:29:06.200 --> 00:29:09.100
of market capitalization because Ferrari is
586
00:29:09.100 --> 00:29:13.100
worth all the stock market 35 billion euros,
587
00:29:12.100 --> 00:29:15.900
which means an Enterprise value of 24
588
00:29:15.900 --> 00:29:19.200
years of it now, which is absolutely outstanding
589
00:29:18.200 --> 00:29:21.800
and another prize value, which is
590
00:29:21.800 --> 00:29:24.200
8.5 times the capital
591
00:29:24.200 --> 00:29:24.900
employed.
592
00:29:25.900 --> 00:29:28.500
So you understand that the company has a fantastic
593
00:29:28.500 --> 00:29:32.200
reputation of the stock market Ferrari versus
594
00:29:31.200 --> 00:29:34.400
Porsche Porsche is
595
00:29:34.400 --> 00:29:38.000
bigger and significantly bigger birds are
596
00:29:37.400 --> 00:29:41.300
very very profitable the
597
00:29:40.300 --> 00:29:44.900
stock markets. They're very much preferory the
598
00:29:43.900 --> 00:29:46.800
love Ferrari as
599
00:29:46.800 --> 00:29:49.200
it is today does it means that if you are
600
00:29:49.200 --> 00:29:53.700
a luxury car brand you will automatically generated
601
00:29:52.700 --> 00:29:56.100
plenty of financial returns
602
00:29:55.100 --> 00:29:58.600
for your shareholders and fortunately, this
603
00:29:58.600 --> 00:30:00.800
is a little more complex if you benchmark
604
00:30:01.600 --> 00:30:04.500
A prestigious name which is Ferrari who's
605
00:30:04.500 --> 00:30:07.400
annals are very prestigious name, which is Aston Martin
606
00:30:07.400 --> 00:30:10.500
Lagonda James Bond. Okay.
607
00:30:10.500 --> 00:30:13.500
Well you look at the last five years and
608
00:30:13.500 --> 00:30:16.200
you understand that Ferrari stock price
609
00:30:16.200 --> 00:30:18.800
was increased by 400 percent.
610
00:30:19.700 --> 00:30:22.700
If you look at I still Martin see the
611
00:30:22.700 --> 00:30:25.800
company was listed in 2017 to stock
612
00:30:25.800 --> 00:30:29.300
price went down by 97% So
613
00:30:28.300 --> 00:30:31.700
what we made today 3% of
614
00:30:31.700 --> 00:30:35.000
the initial IPO price of Aston
615
00:30:34.100 --> 00:30:37.800
Martin land on that, which is a disaster. So
616
00:30:37.800 --> 00:30:40.600
it's not enough to be supported by James Bond
617
00:30:40.600 --> 00:30:43.700
to be a success in the stock market to conclude.
618
00:30:43.700 --> 00:30:46.700
Let's go back to Volkswagen and the governance
619
00:30:46.700 --> 00:30:47.000
problems.
620
00:30:47.900 --> 00:30:50.600
You all remember that diesel gate
621
00:30:50.600 --> 00:30:54.200
and the platy of business operations
622
00:30:53.200 --> 00:30:56.200
issues here and there
623
00:30:56.200 --> 00:30:57.600
that's really a problem.
624
00:30:58.300 --> 00:31:01.200
Today is the Bloomer is the CEO
625
00:31:01.200 --> 00:31:04.200
of Volkswagen and he's a CEO of
626
00:31:04.200 --> 00:31:04.900
Porsche.
627
00:31:05.500 --> 00:31:08.500
So you can say that there is a potential confusion between
628
00:31:08.500 --> 00:31:11.900
sister and Porsche is not really an
629
00:31:11.900 --> 00:31:13.600
autonomous and independent company.
630
00:31:14.500 --> 00:31:18.000
There is a family holding which was
631
00:31:17.200 --> 00:31:20.700
nicely and courage to
632
00:31:20.700 --> 00:31:24.800
improve and increase its control of Porsche
633
00:31:23.800 --> 00:31:25.400
brand name.
634
00:31:26.200 --> 00:31:29.500
They are causes and there are difficulties between
635
00:31:29.500 --> 00:31:32.200
the cousins even though it seems that they want
636
00:31:32.200 --> 00:31:35.600
to get into more friendly relationship
637
00:31:35.600 --> 00:31:36.900
today and tomorrow.
638
00:31:37.900 --> 00:31:40.800
You have said that there are some problems of control. You
639
00:31:40.800 --> 00:31:43.900
understand that there are some problems of transparency starting in
640
00:31:43.900 --> 00:31:47.000
a communication. And if I should account now, it
641
00:31:46.300 --> 00:31:49.700
can be common fantastic value Creations
642
00:31:49.700 --> 00:31:52.500
these outstanding story, but they
643
00:31:52.500 --> 00:31:55.500
have to transform the governance in order
644
00:31:55.500 --> 00:31:58.400
to create value and longer now, what
645
00:31:58.400 --> 00:32:01.300
we have to do is to wait and see.
646
00:32:02.400 --> 00:32:02.900
Thank you very much.
Hello and welcome to this educational film which is devoted to a famous company, which was recently listed and whose story so eventful that it looks like a Greek tragedy Porsche at the very beginning Port is a person an outstanding technical engineer fairly.
No Porsche.
He was born in 1875 as a young person because a worker in a cap and his name is Bella Edgar which we later become Brown buffery very well known company is so remarkable and talented that he's going to be quite quickly promoted as manager of the test center.
He's going to promote plenty of Innovations and thanks to this Innovations the cause which are produced by the company are going to win plenty of races.
So very successful.
Trying to leave the company to join also a very well-known company Daimler in 1923 a few years later is a technical direct or technical manager of the group and he's a member of the executive board extremely successful.
At that time it receives a title and he's going to be very proud of this title is Doctor enginir on a race cars out from the technical horser of Stuttgart.
He's going to be so proud of this title that it's going to be the name of his company the name of the company, which is today listener stock market but there will be some problems some conflicts with support because he wants to design a car which is a small where it's car compared with Mercedes and so on so forth there is a conflict and he's going to resign he's going to leave the company and join another campaign in the automobile business.
The name was a company is Shire automobile.
He's going to join 1929 not the very best moment to move from one job to the other because there's a crisis in Wall Street and the consequence will be the Great Depression style automobile will not survive for that and it's going to disappear.
He's going to stop from scratch again and in 19 31 it creates his own company.
It is an independent office which is going to design cars for OEM for car manufacturers and also car under his own name.
He wanted to design a small car you remember it was a cause of his resignation from diver.
Adolf Hitler is going to give him the opportunity because he wants a small car.
He wants a car for the people of fox Fagen in order to be Tech what had been done in Italian the fact five hundred.
So it's going to create Beetle the folks wagon, which was born in 1935 and it's going to be the tremendous success which you know the beetle we start it's all career.
The wind is a terrible turbulence, which were created by World War 2.
The company is going to interrupt it's activity at the end of the world and he's going to start again.
Another Porsche name created by fairy portion is Fatten on Anton Ernest in 1947 the new Porsche IS designed and there will be now standing cars name is a three five six plus plenty of royalties coming from the Beatles Because the beetle is experiencing fantastic success and the patterns of The Beatles are owned by Porsche.
So they are going to receive plenty of royalties to finance Innovation and growth at Porsche.
Now, is it Legend is it reality? Who knows but it seems that fat no Porsche looking at the three 56 is so emotion over one by emotions that he will have a stroke and later on early 1951 is going to pass away now.
I will now standing in engineer, but it was an outstanding Technical and commercial success as well.
Not only the car business but also in the ironics the first hybrid car combining terrible on the electric and That it's so important was created by 39 Porsche.
The name was a loner Porsche 1901.
He also created an electric car a full electric car at that time when it was working for them there.
He created plenty of new designs for Mercedes and Spence and Porsche as a company, but his son Ferry created the nine eleven the Fantastic Porsche car.
Now, this is 911 is so important in the history of the company.
That's it symbol.
The teacher of Porsche on the stock market is p which stands for Porsche 911 How many shares at ports nine hundred and eleven million shares divided into two parts 455.5 million all the nearest shares 455.5 million preferred shares.
Now Porsche is a Founder that porschees a family in 1903 fairly.
No Porsche married, alloysia guys.
They had a daughter in 1904 Louis and Louis married and Tom piersch.
This is why you have a pH family and a Porsche family today cousins then fairly.
Now Anton Ernest was born in 1909 and the nickname is very Porsche.
And after World War 2 Lewis is Volkswagen fairy is Porsche.
There are two branches for the family.
There are two causes that their relationship inside.
The family is a great.
Tragedy is here.
That's right.
The education is completely different.
The lifestyle is completely different.
Some are a little bit short of some are a little bit straight and rigorous and they just hate each other.
Now the conflict is going to become paroxystic in 2005 because Porsche will try to take over Volkswagen this year Porsche seven billion Euro turnover sales unravevenues buys 20% of Volkswagen shares and folks Fargo at that time.
It's one hour five billion years turn over.
to protect the company against potential hostile takeover, which is absolutely not founded because when you look at the equity portfolio and the shareholders of Volkswagen, you have a land of lower Saxony which controls with voting right time.
So it's just to take the control and now in generate 2007.
Porsche owns more than 30% of the company and the capital is extremely successful at that time.
The profit is your are about six billion euros.
So you understand that Porsche is financing the control of Volkswagen.
We see it's old internally generated funds and profitability financial performance.
Later on September 2008.
They go beyond 35% But if you go beyond this level, you have to launch a takeover.
You have to make an offer to the share orders to sell their shares.
The offer is not going to be extremely generous but in January 2009 now Porsche has to control folks wagon with a little bit more than 50% of the shares.
But 2000 is a difficult period because it is the explosion of the subprime crisis the stock market first macroeconomics then and what's going to happen Porsche has plenty of that in the balance sheet because the profit generated by the company was not enough to finance all these shared purchases.
So they had to raise some debt.
And in the meantime, the revenues are says Jared by Porsche are down for very simple reason.
There is a crisis and nobody buys cars anymore.
That is 9 billion.
Euros.
That's too much the company's very much in the bills of Crisis and Volkswagen is going to receive the political support of the land of lower Saxony.
And also German government at large so that they can counter attack and Volkswagen is going to try to take a control of Porsche which is going to be achieved in July 2009.
Now, it's no more Porsche who has a majority of Volkswagen.
It's Volkswagen which controls Porsche if you look at the shareholders portfolio today Porsche automobile holding SE holds 31.4% of the shed.
But as a predominantly have voting rights shares they have more than 50% of the voting right other control some foreign institutional investors 27% Qatar.
10.5% the state the land of lower Saxony 11.8% and some other institutional private investor.
So what is funny to observe is that you have the all the his name is Portia which controls first wagon and Volkswagen which owed doctor in here on his cows are fair, you know Bosch action gazelle shaft.
Which itself owns a brand Porsche which is so unknown before moving to the IPO itself.
I would like to have a few words on performance and communication at Volkswagen Consolidated group the company in general report provides plenty of information about its financial performance starting with a famous weighted average cost of capital.
How you calculate that cost of equity cost of that share faculty share of that cost of Faculty Government Bond rate, which is close to zero in 2020 and in 2021, and then you add an equity risk premium, which is the market which premium 7.5% multiplied by the systematic race coefficient, which is named the beta which is very much about the sensitivity of the values of company to what happens to macro economic conditions.
When the bedtime is more than one there is overreaction and a reaction if it is less than one in this case.
It's 1.16 in 2021.
What does it mean it means that you're going to add to the government bone rate 7.5% multiplied by 1.16.
So beyond the 7.5% you have a kind of additional risk premium, which is due to the company.
It's leverage.
It's business operations and the 1.2% on top of the 7.5.
Is it Factor 0.16 on top of one multiplied by 7.5% It's 1.2% Then your other cause of equity capital and you have the cost of that which is interest rate after tax because the interest expense is as you know, deductible from the taxable income.
What else do you need share for equity share of that share faculty that's important to know to search share of that one, sir.
We'll use this figures a little bit later at the end of the day the way that average cost of capital in 2020 or 2021 World a bit more than 6% 6.2% in 2021.
Now let me propose you some comments about the calculations of what the formula is.
Okay, waited average cost of capital very often.
The problem is in the parameters themselves.
Before we get to the parameters, there's something quite interesting to observe the company names specific risk.
What is named by corporate? Final Theory systematic you remember that specific is ideal syncretic.
It's a risk which disappears through diversification when you build a portfolio of assets the one which remains is a systematic risk again sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions.
Okay.
Now, what about the parameters? There's a very important one which is a beta and the company says for the automotive division of the auto body division.
It's 1.60.
But when you look at different websites to just Financial Times or Yahoo! Finance, how much do you get about 1.4? A better of a group is awaited average beta of the Strategic business units of the companies.
We've got off sbus.
Do you have at Volkswagen you have the automotive business and you're also a very big one which is financial services financial services.
It's about specialized customer financing for this kind of industry is a better speaking a little bit more than one not much more than one.
So if you combine the car business and the financial services in the street, you have a better which is a bit more than what a beta which is supposedly when you look at comparable companies as they say, yeah or report 1.60 and the average of 1.16 and one should be one point four which of course doesn't work.
Of course, there's a drug business or so inside but it does not count for the difference between these two.
So you understand that it's a little bit strange.
This is calculation.
Someone very interesting information provided by the government.
See how many profit You remember the economic value added return on Capital? Let's cost of capital for the automotive division.
What do you do you calculate the operating income before or after taxes? This case it provide after tax, which is 11.70 something billion and you divide that by the average invested capital.
Non camera assets working capital requirement on a few additional 6, but when you divide the first figure about the second one, which is when I have 13 billion you get a return on Capital after tax, which is 10.5% And you remember the walk is 6.2.
So the company is profitable the performance is positive and the economic profit in percentage terms.
He's returned Capital.
Let's go start capitalist 10.4 minus 6.2.
So it's 4.2% the companies why profitable in a business in an industry, which is quite tough industry.
Now when you taxi operating profit after tax again and you deduct from that the total cost of financing, which is invested Capital multiplied by the weighted average cost of capital.
You get no pet what is generated by operations Minus cost of financing, which is promised to the investors and you get the economic profit.
Out otherwise also to take the rose day after tax minus or walk which you multiply by the invested capital.
And in this case you have an economic profit, which is 4.7 billion Euro.
So the company is communicating any report that the automotive division is extremely performing now.
We need to calculate a little bit further.
When we calculated no walk.
We say debt Equity cost of debt cost of equity and that is supposed to be 33% of the invested Capital.
So it takes invested Capital One hundred and thirteen billion you multiply by one sir, and you get 38 billion.
So the death of the automotive business is 38 billion.
Now when you look at the Consolidated balance sheet of Volkswagen are gay you have a financial debt net of cash which represents and 48 billion, which is quite a lot.
Now 38 billion of that is Automotive business.
The rest is 148 minus 38, which is 110 million and why is a gearing very high why is indepness very high because there's a financial services business.
Now when you look at the assets side of the balance, it was a financial receivable as long term and short term which in total represent why had 140 billion euros.
This is finance by debt and the equity of the financial services activity.
If you take us an assumption that the one-handed and 10 billion is fully allocated to the financing of the receivables.
Then you have one hand 140, which is 100 and 10 dead plus 30 Equity of the financial services activity.
Is it consistent with what is communicated by the company? Yes, because the company says a return on Equity before tax of the financial services business is about 17% Now they will also provide the profit before tax, which is six.
To the I6 by 30 you get a 20% calculation which is quite close to the success.
You should divide 6 by 30 you get 20% before tax return equity for the financial services division.
She's quite consistent.
So this calculations seem to be a little bit reasonable.
Now, let's go back to exit the equity which is allocated to the automotive division is 76 billion how you calculate that you take the same invested capital? And you multiply that by two thirds because you remember that the one hybrid uncertainty billion of finals Equity to search that one, sir, seven six billion.
Now if you mix a song of the equity which is allocated to the automotive 76 and the equity which is allocated to the finals or Services business.
So do we just calculate we get to one house six billion? The new group equities not 1006 billion.
It is 100 and 46 billion, which is quite a lot.
At the end of the day you understand that there are 40 billion euros which are missing in the calculation.
And the question is where does it come from? You don't have the answer.
So you understand that the company is communicating quite a lot on its Financial metrics, but sometimes it's a little bit difficult to understand what's behind the figures and this might be an issue.
This issue can be reflected in the financial and stock market metrics of the company.
You remember that the automotive business is jury duty and economic profit beyond the Walk of 4.7 billion company the business the division is performing the financial services business is generating a return equity which before taxes about 17% it certainly much more than the expected return on equity.
And so at the end of the day, you have two men businesses which are both of that very profitable.
Performance is a source of value.
So if you are performing very well, you should create value.
How do you measure the value which is created or destroyed by a company.
It's quite simple.
You look at the stock market price.
The stock market gives you the value of equity and the market capitalization.
If you add to that that you get the entire price value and what is interesting is to compare the stock market value and the Book value.
And at the end of the day the company's communicating not only on its Financial Matrix, but is communicating on the fact that the market value of equity represents.
If you look at the last five years between 0.6 and 0.8 between 60 and 80% of the book equity.
It's a values a company is less and what shows in the book it means that it's very distraction.
So it's permanent and significant value destruction.
When in the meantime the performance looks positive you say that there's a kind of creativity.
Yeah.
Those are company is as it is communicated performing at the much higher rate.
That was a stock market is suggesting.
It might come from communication and governance will discuss later now.
Let's start in the world of the stock market metrics.
You remember there are some multiples which are quite well known price earning stock price divided by earnings per share.
The stock price of the company represents five times the earnings per share Enterprise Value market capitalization plus net Financial Tech the Enterprise Value represents seven years seven times the earnings before interest access to Precision advertisation to cash operating profit.
They're good at the end of the day.
It does not show a very big confidence in the performance and in the ability of the company to grow but the financial structure itself is quite heavy because net Financial net represents four times those there is a high gearing High financial leverage the four months according to the multiples.
He's quite average and gross expectations are not very high.
So you understand the markets will be gloomy about but slogan our game now after we discuss all let's go back to the transaction itself on the listing of Porsche you remember what I say There are nine hundred and eleven million shares and Porsche divided split into two halves preferred stock.
No voting right 455.5 million.
And ordinary shares with voting rights.
As preferred shares the preference shares.
They don't have the voting right are they have a higher dividend? So they receive a dividend which is a dividend received by the ordinary ratio orders plus zero point zero one Euros, which is ex religion.
What's going to happen when the capital is listed 25% of the preferred Shares are going to be listed including the offer allotment though.
What does it means that one half percent of 14 rights of Porsche are still according to this arrangement in the Volkswagen at gay company, but before the ipu Volkswagen is going to sell 25% of you all the generation including voting right plus one so that you have the blocking minority in an extraordinary Ratio or a meeting and it's going to sell these yes to the Monarch happening Porsche s e the Family holding at which The price which is going to be offered for the preferred shares plus the premium which represents the fact that the ordinary shares the other 4G right as opposed to the preferred yet.
So premium is 7.5% So this is a value of the voting right? Which is exceptionally low Corporate Finance academics have extensively published on the difference in the value of all generations with voting rights and prefer chairs or preferences without voting.
Right and the difference is value is very often 20 or 30 sometimes 50% not exactly seven point five percent.
So the price which was asked to Porsche to pray for the voting.
What is quite low.
How much is going to be cashed in Bible.
The offer price was a preferences going to be 82.5 Euros per share you add 7.5% to that and you are the price paid by portishe to buy the port shares sold by those bug and are gay and you get 88.69 Euros per share your multiplied, but the number of shares and it is about 10.1 billion euros cash in Bible.
Wagon from Porsche SE the Family holding now the preferred shares as I told you where so for 82.5 Euros in September.
The price range was 76.5 age 2.5.
So at the end of the day what wall accepted selected was a top of the price range 82.5 then Volkswagen sold 100 million shares at 82.5 to the public.
It's represents 9.4 billion euros.
Today the stock price is 100 and 2.5 Euros.
So you understand that the price as increased by 20 euros per preferred.
Yes.
This is quite successful.
And today the value of Porsche is on the stock market 98 billion euros when they value force of market capitalization of Volkswagen.
He's unless 76 billion.
So Port is now worth much more than it's more that company.
Now if you combine the two transactions the sales are shares on the IPO the preferred Chase what were the proceeds which were cashed in by Volkswagen? 9.4 billion from the IPO selling the preferred shares to the market.
10.1 billion from selling the ordinary shares to Porsche as is this is a solve of 19.5 billion euros, which is quite a lot of money the question is that why do you do with this cash, which is now in the bank account distribute almost 50% of that.
December 16, there will be an extraordinary shareholder meeting which is going to of course approve something which is proposed today, which is to pay an exceptional divided unto the Volkswagen shareholders and this extraordinary dividend represents 9.55 billion euros, almost half of the 19.5 billion collected by the company.
Now Porsche SE is a shield Volkswagen.
They have more than 30% of the shares who are going to receive more than 30% of this extraordinary dividend this exceptional dividend.
It's going to be more than three billion.
So they pay attention billion and they receives Rebuilder.
The net of it is 7 billion which quite significantly reduces the bill.
Isn't it an interesting statement? Now what were the alternatives for Volkswagen of returning the cash to shareholders their chance? It was investing in business operations.
You can and or repented to gain some flexibility and the ability to invest and or invest in your business operations in innovation in capacity in productivity something which makes a company be stronger and more competitive.
So there were some strategy and business maternities.
They decided to return 50% of the cash to the shareholder.
If you look at Porsche as it is now almost standing alone.
What are the Matrix The Matrix are quite positive.
The company is a big company.
So he's Rebellion your sales in 2021 and growing the return on says operating in calm divided by revenues commercial performance 20% Yeah the return on Capital after tax.
You remember the calculate here return on investment origin Capital after that about 20% level.
So there's a company's doing very well.
It's a strong company, which is very profitable the market cap.
Remember 198 billion euros.
So it's a very big market capitalization the Enterprise Value, which is Market capitalist that's represents about three times the capital employed.
It's a market to book of three, which is value creation.
They have a competitor.
Very one on one whose name is Ferrari Ferrari was listed in 2015.
What are their 2021 says Four Points three billion euros, so it's much smaller than Porsche.
But what are the financial metrics return on says operating income to say if you remember it was 20% for Porsche.
It's 25% for Ferrari quite the same order of magnitude.
The return on Capital after tax for Porsche Automotive division was 20% The return Capital before tax calculated for Ferrari is 30% of the tax.
It's close to 20% for roughly the same Matrix.
But you remember that Ferraris merch smaller than portions of revenues.
But it's not exactly it's scale in terms of market capitalization because Ferrari is worth all the stock market 35 billion euros, which means an Enterprise value of 24 years of it now, which is absolutely outstanding and another prize value, which is 8.5 times the capital employed.
So you understand that the company has a fantastic reputation of the stock market Ferrari versus Porsche Porsche is bigger and significantly bigger birds are very very profitable the stock markets.
They're very much preferory the love Ferrari as it is today does it means that if you are a luxury car brand you will automatically generated plenty of financial returns for your shareholders and fortunately, this is a little more complex if you benchmark A prestigious name which is Ferrari who's annals are very prestigious name, which is Aston Martin Lagonda James Bond.
Okay.
Well you look at the last five years and you understand that Ferrari stock price was increased by 400 percent.
If you look at I still Martin see the company was listed in 2017 to stock price went down by 97% So what we made today 3% of the initial IPO price of Aston Martin land on that, which is a disaster.
So it's not enough to be supported by James Bond to be a success in the stock market to conclude.
Let's go back to Volkswagen and the governance problems.
You all remember that diesel gate and the platy of business operations issues here and there that's really a problem.
Today is the Bloomer is the CEO of Volkswagen and he's a CEO of Porsche.
So you can say that there is a potential confusion between sister and Porsche is not really an autonomous and independent company.
There is a family holding which was nicely and courage to improve and increase its control of Porsche brand name.
They are causes and there are difficulties between the cousins even though it seems that they want to get into more friendly relationship today and tomorrow.
You have said that there are some problems of control.
You understand that there are some problems of transparency starting in a communication.
And if I should account now, it can be common fantastic value Creations these outstanding story, but they have to transform the governance in order to create value and longer now, what we have to do is to wait and see.
Thank you very much.