Educational film, December 2022 // Iberdrola: Environmental and financial performance
The contradictory objectives of a clean energy giant
The Iberdrola Group, based in the Spanish Basque country, is a global leader in clean energy. They have advanced the energy transition by two decades to combat climate change and provide a sustainable and competitive business model that creates value for society.
However, despite an exemplary track record of environmentally responsible management, their financial practice is not as clean and successful as their environmental management.
Professor Jacquet paints a lucid portrait of this company and its charismatic but not quite humble leader.
WEBVTT
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Hello on welcome to this educational film which
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is devoted to a company which combines environmental
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excellence and financial
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performance.
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So there was a company is ebadiola. It's not
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the first film which we devote to energy and
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transition in energy. The first one was about
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the partnership of nowhere and Tesla in
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Australia in order to support the electricity grid
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locally, which is showing some deficiencies.
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The second one was devoted to orstead
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the Danish company in Scandinavia. Number
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one in windmills, by the way, birdola is
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number two in the windmill business, but it
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is more than that. It is a very successful bet
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in what is his name clean energy.
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At the very beginning of the story there is
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a gentleman a charismatic leader whose name is in. Yes, your
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Ghana the person was born in 1950. He
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received iron engineering education
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started business in an excellent
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institution whose name is ikady in Spain, and he
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also studied international business international trade.
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During five years when he was the CEO of
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Airtel Mobile in Spain. He became
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very aggressive number two against the
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number one who's name is a telephonica as a
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telecommunication operator history when Airtel
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mobile was sold. It was
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proposed to become the number one at iberto. He's been
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leading this position see you on chairman
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of the board since 2001 and the
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objective was now to confront the number one in Spain
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not in telecommunication operators, but
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in the electricity business the no one
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Spain walls and Desa.
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This person has a conviction and this
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conviction leads to a strategy there's a conviction and the
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vision is we have to ditch we have to get
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rid of fossil fuels and we have to
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completely focus on clean energy.
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Now this strategic Vision Wars absolutely implemented
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if you look a little bit at the past of ibadwala,
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the company is created in
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1992. It's a
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merger between two historical energy operators in
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Spain. Of course, the roots are much older
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than that, but in 1992, it is
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starting as hebertola.
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The company is based in Bilbao. It's
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a Basque country in Spain and he's
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ridiculous country always had
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very difficult relationship with a central
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government in Madrid will have
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discussion later on about that now and yes, your
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Kalan is appointed in 2001. And what is
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he going to do? He's going to transform the companies through Acquisitions
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external grows and capex internal
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Rose. So he's going to purchase by
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a number of companies complimenting that by 100
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30 billion euros invested in
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renewable energy acquisition started
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in 2001 a little bit in North
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America United States and also in Latin America,
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which is a normal development for companies originated in
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Spain. The very critical turning point of the company is
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the acquisition in 2006 for
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17.2 billion euros of Scottish
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Power Scottish Power.
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Very much space in the UK. That's quite normal as
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a very important footprint in North America
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and is very well known for his Excellence is technical
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excellence in wind farm management. That's
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absolutely phenomenal for
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the company because they acquires his knowledge the
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acquire footprint in the United States, which is quite
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significant much more than the first one which had been developed in
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2001 and they are going to extend in North
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America with the acquisition of energy East in 2008 for
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all most five billion dollars, then
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it's going to be complemented by an older
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acquisition and merger with uel all day in
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2015 creation and immediately sting
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of Alvin greed. Avon greed is now a company which
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is listed on a New York Stock Exchange the value of
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the companies about 16.5 billion dollars and
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still control by ibadoura. There will
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be further Acquisitions in Australia for example in
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2020 in fijen, but there's very interesting
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point.
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Which is in 2020 the company also
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wants to acquire P&M.
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Everything is okay, but it's going to be rejected by
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the US regulatory authorities because
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they say are you know, what among other problems
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there are some legal problems involving a bedroller
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and its top manager Mr.
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Kalan and it's true that ebirtual I
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had some business relation with a consulting firm whose
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ethical values. We're absolutely not
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guaranteed to say the least.
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Now where does a bird roller stand today?
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If you look at the S&P Global Energy company
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ranking, the company is number
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eight worldwide, which is absolutely outstanding development.
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Number two in wind farms behind orstead.
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You're remember I already mentioned that in 2021
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revenues are 38 billion
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euros a bit da represents 30%
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of revenues about 12 billion.
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the total assets for the companies were 40 billion
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euros, which is a consequence of huge
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investment and you understand immediately that
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the business is very Capital intensive if you confront assets
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and revenues
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Capex in 2021 more than
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six billion euros and bottom line
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their earnings 4 billion. So the big question
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is Which percentage of this 4 billion is reinvested is
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retaining the company so that you can find on drugs. The
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dividend Powers ratio is 70% So your
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retain 30% 30% of 4 billion
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is 1.2. It's far from financing the
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six billion plus of capital expenditures.
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Of course, it would be a question about financial structure.
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Of course, it will be a question about the level of in-deptness of the
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company will discuss that towards the end of the film.
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Now that's about financial metrics. If
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you look at ESG performance, it's absolutely great
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widely recognized absolutely fantastic
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performance on the environment point of view
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distinctions ratings and so on so forth. Absolutely,
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no doubt about that Net Zero Target for
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Europe 20 30 Net Zero
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Target for the world 2050 in order to raise
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his targets a company has a communicated subjectives which
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have been approved by the sbti consistent with
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an increase in temperature by 1.5 degrees.
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I Belize in nuclear. He's
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in wind farms. I already mentioned but also called
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generation Sora hydroelectric growing very
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much in hydrogen. What is very interesting in
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their communication is that we are ASG plus f
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So we are not F. We are not ESG. We are
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both we are combination ESG means environment and
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f means financial robustness Financial
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strengths. So it's
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not environment that the expense of financial metrics. It's
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not Finance whatever the consequences on
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ESG now, it's both together, which is
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absolutely great.
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Now the company says we are Global energy leader. No,
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there are international. They are
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not completely Global if you look at the map you understand
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that 400,000 people are
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directly or indirectly working for Allah.
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But they are mostly in Spain normal. UK Scottish
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Power a little bit in Australia and very much
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in North America and in Brazil.
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So they are not completely Global even though
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the company has very much developed throughout the years.
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Now. Let's have a look at some traditional Financial metrics revenues
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browse revenues are
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up over about 10 years from 30
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billion to 40 billion euros. It's
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an average of about three four five percent Grows Right.
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There's a little bit of volatility in a
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growth rate, which is due to Energy prices. Nothing wrong
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with that the companies operating in three segments
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one is named liberalized you produce energy you
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produce electricity in a library
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ice Market producing also energy through Renewables and
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renewable segment is absolutely fundamental it
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consume plenty of capex. So segment is
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about Distributing electricity through its own network and you
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all remember this concept or smart great.
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Now if you want to have a look at the relative weight of
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one segment against each other you understand
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that the one which is 50% of the revenues
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is laboralized or it was
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60. It's down to 50 but it's still quite strong in
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in the country. If you look at
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Renewables, it's growing little by little and network is
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growing more or less. Right? But what
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is still dominant is liberalized and what is
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growing is renewable and renewable is in the middle of the picture.
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Now you understand that the company sales are
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growing but the level of return on sales also
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is growing in parallel with the revenues EPT on
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sales is up. So it's not only BDA which
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is up but as a percentage to revenues it's
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up and revenues are up. There's a company is very successful
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in terms of return on sales.
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Look at the evolution of the operating expenses. You understand that
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they are reasonably stable. Sometimes a
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little bit sometimes a little bit down except supplies
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for the cost of sales, which is of course a bit
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more volatile because it's about energy which
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itself is not very stable in terms of prices.
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Now you remember that it be that
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is up. So the difference is depreciating an amortizing
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the capital expenditures.
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Of course, they move in parallel directions, but what
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is quite interesting is to observe that a bit versus
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a bit. That's about 10%
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And the Precision amortizations about 10% to
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revenues so the company is spending a
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lot in depreciation amortization as a consequence of investment.
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It's also quite interesting to observe the evolution
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of industrial investment at the company if you
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calculate capex as a percentage of revenues
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historically, it's about 16%
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There is a ratio which I always enjoy very
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much calculating and observing. It's intensity Capital
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expenditures today divided by depreciation, which
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is a consequence of capital expenditures yesterday.
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Now, if You observe the ratio, you understand that Karen
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capex is 15% more than
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depreciation, which is past capex.
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The capital is investing and investing and investing
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consequence Capital intensity. You remember
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that in a capital employed you have non-current assets
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and you have your model Monet, which is invested in
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the cash conversion cycle inventory is
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plus receivables minus payables. And if
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You observe what happened your rings the last almost 10 years
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right You observe that the cash conversion cycle
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walls up inventory is quite
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stable but accounts receivable accounts payable
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a little bit down and then stabilizing. So you
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understand that today you have about 40 days of cash conversion cycle.
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When it was on layer 20 days sometime ago. The consequence
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is quite a lot of billion
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euros in a working capital requirement. We'll see
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that later on. Now if you combine non-current assets
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and working capital requirement, you have the capital employed traditionally
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we divide revenues by
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Capital employed to get the assets turnover, which is
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a metric which measures the assets productivity
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of the company.
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If you look at the past it was 0.5. And now
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it's 0.4 as a consequence of
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huge investment and a little bit of deterioration of the cash
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conversion cycle.
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But if you look at the revenues generated by one Euro
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invested in property plant and Equipment,
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but it's quite stable.
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So all in all it's about investing in capex, but
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it is also investing quote in the cash
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conversion cycle. We'll discuss that a little bit later on.
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not return on capital is the return on sales 20%
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but multiplied by an assets
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turnover, which is
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0.4. If you multiply 20% by 0.4
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you get a percent which is a return on
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Capital employed generated by the company today.
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So, of course when you sell for one
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year row you make 20 cents of operating profit,
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but if you invest one Euro in capital
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employed in business operations, you generate only 40
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00:13:05.700 --> 00:13:08.100
cents of revenues. So if you
262
00:13:08.100 --> 00:13:11.700
make 20% of 40 cents, you generate eight
263
00:13:11.700 --> 00:13:14.800
cents out of the one Euro invested
264
00:13:14.800 --> 00:13:17.400
in business operations, there is
265
00:13:17.400 --> 00:13:20.400
eight percent. That's fine. And that's fine
266
00:13:20.400 --> 00:13:23.400
because it's quite stable because the
267
00:13:23.400 --> 00:13:26.600
beta the capital is low because it's cost
268
00:13:26.600 --> 00:13:29.000
of capital is relatively lower will discuss that a little
269
00:13:29.100 --> 00:13:32.600
bit later and so the company's performing but it
270
00:13:32.600 --> 00:13:35.600
is not as performing as what could be suggested by
271
00:13:35.600 --> 00:13:38.800
high return on sales. It's very traditional for
272
00:13:38.800 --> 00:13:41.700
Capital intensive businesses. You remember strong
273
00:13:41.700 --> 00:13:44.600
statement Corporate Finance what creates value is
274
00:13:44.600 --> 00:13:48.300
performance? So how do we calculate relative
275
00:13:47.300 --> 00:13:50.300
value creation to price value
276
00:13:50.300 --> 00:13:52.700
divided by Capital employed Market to book?
277
00:13:53.400 --> 00:13:56.500
And to price value is market cap number of
278
00:13:56.500 --> 00:13:59.200
shares multiplied by stock price. It's a value of
279
00:13:59.200 --> 00:14:02.400
equity. We add the value of that. We divide that
280
00:14:02.400 --> 00:14:05.400
by Capital employed which was financed by equity and
281
00:14:05.400 --> 00:14:05.500
debt.
282
00:14:06.100 --> 00:14:09.400
Basically, if it's more than one it means that there is value creation
283
00:14:09.400 --> 00:14:12.500
less than one value distraction. And what do
284
00:14:12.500 --> 00:14:15.500
we observe for a virtual the same as for every company?
285
00:14:15.500 --> 00:14:18.700
I showed you in different videos a strong
286
00:14:18.700 --> 00:14:21.400
correlation between Market to book which is relative value
287
00:14:21.400 --> 00:14:24.800
creation and economic performance, which is returned Capital
288
00:14:24.800 --> 00:14:25.300
employee.
289
00:14:25.900 --> 00:14:28.800
But it's not enough to observe this correlation. We
290
00:14:28.800 --> 00:14:31.600
also have to try to find out what should be
291
00:14:31.600 --> 00:14:34.400
the market to book assuming that the company is
292
00:14:34.400 --> 00:14:37.700
stable not growing G is 0 cash
293
00:14:37.700 --> 00:14:40.500
flows are stable. What should be the market
294
00:14:40.500 --> 00:14:43.300
to book the market to book should be if you remember
295
00:14:43.300 --> 00:14:46.500
the formula as a return on Capital after that we've added
296
00:14:46.500 --> 00:14:48.700
bad or what then we have to calculate the walk.
297
00:14:49.500 --> 00:14:52.300
To calculate the work. We observe the evolution of the
298
00:14:52.300 --> 00:14:55.800
stock price against the evolution stock market index
299
00:14:55.800 --> 00:14:58.700
Madrid Stock Exchange ibex35
300
00:14:59.400 --> 00:15:02.500
And you understand that there are two periods one period
301
00:15:02.500 --> 00:15:07.600
with a good correlation up to 2016-2017 and
302
00:15:06.600 --> 00:15:09.900
a kind of decoration starting
303
00:15:09.900 --> 00:15:12.700
in 2017. Now when you
304
00:15:12.700 --> 00:15:16.000
calculate the beta econometrically You
305
00:15:15.300 --> 00:15:18.600
observe exactly the same story the beta was
306
00:15:18.600 --> 00:15:22.000
one up to a certain moment. It went downstairs but
307
00:15:21.200 --> 00:15:24.900
0.5 then you
308
00:15:24.900 --> 00:15:27.700
calculate the way the average cost of capital you take
309
00:15:27.700 --> 00:15:30.800
Market weddings for equity and that you calculate
310
00:15:30.800 --> 00:15:33.400
the apparent interest rate, which you multiply by one
311
00:15:33.400 --> 00:15:36.400
minus the apprent tax rate cost of that after
312
00:15:36.400 --> 00:15:39.500
tax cost of equity government bone, right
313
00:15:39.500 --> 00:15:42.300
Plus Market risk premium 6 point something
314
00:15:42.300 --> 00:15:45.300
for Spain multiplied by a beta which starts at
315
00:15:45.300 --> 00:15:48.100
the level of one and then goes down to 0.5.
316
00:15:49.600 --> 00:15:53.000
And I calculated a walk which before tax
317
00:15:52.400 --> 00:15:55.500
is about four to four point
318
00:15:55.500 --> 00:15:56.000
five percent.
319
00:15:57.100 --> 00:16:00.300
That's quite interesting because the company's communicating on
320
00:16:00.300 --> 00:16:03.900
its work before tax as well for the impairment test.
321
00:16:03.900 --> 00:16:06.700
And if you look at the list, it's a
322
00:16:06.700 --> 00:16:09.700
bit more. It's a bit less than 4% But
323
00:16:09.700 --> 00:16:12.800
basically we are in same range of magnitude. That's
324
00:16:12.800 --> 00:16:15.400
fine. So basically if the
325
00:16:15.400 --> 00:16:18.700
rose say is eight percent and it's a walk
326
00:16:18.700 --> 00:16:21.800
is 4% before tax. The market
327
00:16:21.800 --> 00:16:24.400
to book should be two which is
328
00:16:24.400 --> 00:16:27.300
what we observe here on the graph and it should
329
00:16:27.300 --> 00:16:30.700
be up as a consequence of the rosie which is doing well and
330
00:16:30.700 --> 00:16:33.400
so on so forth, but at the end of the day the market
331
00:16:33.400 --> 00:16:37.000
to book is just a little bit of one when there
332
00:16:36.100 --> 00:16:39.500
is a difference between the market to book no
333
00:16:39.500 --> 00:16:42.800
growth and the market to book act wall. What
334
00:16:42.800 --> 00:16:45.400
does it mean it means that either the market
335
00:16:45.400 --> 00:16:49.600
is stupid and has not yet understood that it should be higher or
336
00:16:48.600 --> 00:16:52.100
because the market does not trust the
337
00:16:51.100 --> 00:16:54.500
ability of the Rose day of the company to
338
00:16:54.500 --> 00:16:56.900
be sustainable. So the market
339
00:16:57.100 --> 00:17:00.700
some doubts about the sustainability of the financial performance
340
00:17:00.700 --> 00:17:01.500
of The Firm.
341
00:17:02.500 --> 00:17:05.600
In order to have a look at that we need to go through two
342
00:17:05.600 --> 00:17:08.400
very relevant subjects first. We are going to make a
343
00:17:08.400 --> 00:17:11.700
deep dive into the segments segment by
344
00:17:11.700 --> 00:17:14.100
segment. And then we are going to have a
345
00:17:14.100 --> 00:17:17.300
look at the financial strategy of the company not only the level
346
00:17:17.300 --> 00:17:20.700
of adaptedness but also the nature of financing
347
00:17:20.700 --> 00:17:24.200
you remember there are three segments one is liberalized.
348
00:17:23.200 --> 00:17:26.700
The second line is about to Renewables. And
349
00:17:26.700 --> 00:17:30.100
the third one is about Network and distribution. What is
350
00:17:29.100 --> 00:17:33.000
very interesting is to look at the ebida to
351
00:17:32.600 --> 00:17:36.000
sales and revenues per segment.
352
00:17:35.700 --> 00:17:38.700
You remember the long term stable
353
00:17:38.700 --> 00:17:41.400
evolution of the ebda to revenues
354
00:17:41.400 --> 00:17:44.500
but there are huge differences from one segment to
355
00:17:44.500 --> 00:17:47.800
the other if you look at the liberalized business, it's not
356
00:17:47.800 --> 00:17:50.100
very profitable. If you
357
00:17:50.100 --> 00:17:53.900
look at Renewables, it's outstanding profitability traditionally
358
00:17:53.900 --> 00:17:56.800
quotes. It's about 60% which
359
00:17:56.800 --> 00:18:00.200
is quite big in 2021. It's skyrocketed
360
00:17:59.200 --> 00:18:01.200
to 90% Plus.
361
00:18:02.700 --> 00:18:05.400
consequence of the evolution of selling prices for renewable energy
362
00:18:06.600 --> 00:18:09.600
So you understand that there are huge discrepancies from
363
00:18:09.600 --> 00:18:11.200
one segment to the other.
364
00:18:11.900 --> 00:18:14.300
The consequence of the high return on
365
00:18:14.300 --> 00:18:18.400
sales is a conflict with a Spanish government Madrid
366
00:18:17.400 --> 00:18:20.600
government says some companies are
367
00:18:20.600 --> 00:18:23.800
taking advantage of the situation energy crisis
368
00:18:23.800 --> 00:18:26.400
on the imposing excess profits
369
00:18:26.400 --> 00:18:29.100
on the poorest and etc. Etc.
370
00:18:29.100 --> 00:18:32.400
So we are going to create tax. That's a normal reaction.
371
00:18:32.400 --> 00:18:34.600
We create tax whenever it's possible.
372
00:18:35.700 --> 00:18:39.100
There will be a strong quote response
373
00:18:38.100 --> 00:18:39.800
from the CEO.
374
00:18:40.400 --> 00:18:44.700
So Co has a very very strong personality
375
00:18:43.700 --> 00:18:46.700
okay is very
376
00:18:46.700 --> 00:18:49.600
charismatic leader and here whether you
377
00:18:49.600 --> 00:18:52.800
see on the picture it's annual report 2021
378
00:18:52.800 --> 00:18:56.100
cop 26 in Glasgow the
379
00:18:55.100 --> 00:18:59.400
prime minister of Scotland Madam Nicolas
380
00:18:58.400 --> 00:19:01.400
sturgeon and the CEO
381
00:19:01.400 --> 00:19:04.600
of ibadwala in yashokalan, so
382
00:19:04.600 --> 00:19:07.800
they are together in on the picture and what
383
00:19:07.800 --> 00:19:10.700
is mentioned is first CEO sagonda prime
384
00:19:10.700 --> 00:19:10.800
minister.
385
00:19:12.300 --> 00:19:15.500
And the pictures whether you have all you have all your
386
00:19:15.500 --> 00:19:18.200
words and recognitions that are out for the
387
00:19:18.200 --> 00:19:21.800
company column on the left column on the right all
388
00:19:21.800 --> 00:19:24.700
the walls and recognitions, which we attributed
389
00:19:24.700 --> 00:19:25.400
to the chairman.
390
00:19:26.500 --> 00:19:29.900
So you understand that the person is very happy of
391
00:19:29.900 --> 00:19:32.500
himself. And there is a little
392
00:19:32.500 --> 00:19:36.700
bit the beginning of the cult of the personality probably.
393
00:19:38.300 --> 00:19:42.100
Now let's go back to the segments of course renewable
394
00:19:41.100 --> 00:19:44.700
is very profitable but renewable
395
00:19:44.700 --> 00:19:47.300
is consuming tons of cash for Capital
396
00:19:47.300 --> 00:19:51.300
expenditures. You remember 130 billion that represents
397
00:19:50.300 --> 00:19:53.700
capex divided by revenues of
398
00:19:53.700 --> 00:19:56.600
60 80 sometimes more. So, of
399
00:19:56.600 --> 00:19:59.800
course, you have to generate huge EBT in order
400
00:19:59.800 --> 00:20:02.800
to finance huge capex. Now the
401
00:20:02.800 --> 00:20:06.200
consequence of low capex for liberalized a
402
00:20:05.200 --> 00:20:08.400
big capex for Renewables is yeah says
403
00:20:08.400 --> 00:20:10.500
turnover is exactly the other way around
404
00:20:11.600 --> 00:20:14.400
of course liberalized is capital intensive, but
405
00:20:14.400 --> 00:20:17.800
Euro invested in business is generating a
406
00:20:17.800 --> 00:20:18.700
Europe revenues.
407
00:20:19.600 --> 00:20:22.700
Now a Euro invested in Renewables is generating
408
00:20:22.700 --> 00:20:25.200
revenues of 15 cents. So it's
409
00:20:25.200 --> 00:20:28.400
extremely Capital intensive the assets turnover is
410
00:20:28.400 --> 00:20:31.300
dramatically low, then we can calculate a
411
00:20:31.300 --> 00:20:34.700
kind of return on asset for each and every segment. Of course,
412
00:20:34.700 --> 00:20:37.300
we should calculate Rosé a bit divided by
413
00:20:37.300 --> 00:20:40.200
Capital employed we have the bit but we
414
00:20:40.200 --> 00:20:43.300
don't have the capital employed for each segment. We have
415
00:20:43.300 --> 00:20:46.000
a segment asset which is much bigger. So instead of
416
00:20:46.300 --> 00:20:49.600
taking the ability, let's take a bit up and we can calculate the
417
00:20:49.600 --> 00:20:52.600
kind of return I said, it'd be divided by
418
00:20:52.600 --> 00:20:53.800
segment assets.
419
00:20:54.400 --> 00:20:57.500
And then why do we get we get something which is
420
00:20:57.500 --> 00:21:01.100
quite interesting up to 2020. What
421
00:21:00.100 --> 00:21:04.200
was more profitable? Well liberalized
422
00:21:03.200 --> 00:21:06.900
and the less profitable was Renewables,
423
00:21:06.900 --> 00:21:09.300
even though they beta was
424
00:21:09.300 --> 00:21:10.700
60% of revenues.
425
00:21:11.300 --> 00:21:14.300
Then it crossed and in 2021 because
426
00:21:14.300 --> 00:21:18.200
it's a huge increase in saying price for Renewables. Then
427
00:21:17.200 --> 00:21:21.000
renewable is the largest return
428
00:21:20.700 --> 00:21:23.500
asset contributor and liberalize is
429
00:21:23.500 --> 00:21:26.200
a lowest but you understand
430
00:21:26.200 --> 00:21:29.600
that we are in a very traditional situation which is
431
00:21:29.600 --> 00:21:32.800
named the DuPont. No more formula. The rose
432
00:21:32.800 --> 00:21:35.500
is not a return on sales. It's a
433
00:21:35.500 --> 00:21:38.200
return system multiplied by the assets to an over
434
00:21:38.200 --> 00:21:40.000
which is about the assets productivity.
435
00:21:40.800 --> 00:21:44.800
So when you are operating in a very capital-intensive
436
00:21:43.800 --> 00:21:48.000
business energy utilities
437
00:21:47.900 --> 00:21:51.200
telecommunication operators infrastructure of
438
00:21:51.200 --> 00:21:54.500
any kind, then you must generate a very
439
00:21:54.500 --> 00:21:56.400
significant operating margin.
440
00:21:57.300 --> 00:22:00.600
In order to compensate very low assets turnover.
441
00:22:01.300 --> 00:22:04.800
And what is quite interesting to observe in terms of communication is
442
00:22:04.800 --> 00:22:07.700
that you are going to be criticized for the high level
443
00:22:07.700 --> 00:22:10.400
of commercial profitability. Why is
444
00:22:10.400 --> 00:22:13.400
it so because a number of people don't know the difference
445
00:22:13.400 --> 00:22:16.600
between return sets and return Capital, but the number
446
00:22:16.600 --> 00:22:19.700
of people they know that but politically speaking
447
00:22:19.700 --> 00:22:22.200
it's absolutely dramatic to say look at
448
00:22:22.200 --> 00:22:25.300
these people. They make a 60% operating margin.
449
00:22:26.200 --> 00:22:29.300
At the end of the day this economically wrong, but it works on
450
00:22:29.300 --> 00:22:30.700
a communication point of view.
451
00:22:31.800 --> 00:22:34.200
It is the other way around when you are in a light
452
00:22:34.200 --> 00:22:38.200
business such as distribution in which you don't need huge manufacturing
453
00:22:37.200 --> 00:22:40.400
footprint. Then you understand
454
00:22:40.400 --> 00:22:43.600
that you can afford reasonably low operating
455
00:22:43.600 --> 00:22:46.400
margin and still be very profitable because
456
00:22:46.400 --> 00:22:47.900
the assets turnover is very high.
457
00:22:49.100 --> 00:22:52.300
If you take a company like Walmart, the operating income is
458
00:22:52.300 --> 00:22:55.700
4% but the assets turnover is five and five
459
00:22:55.700 --> 00:22:58.100
multiplied by 4 is 20% in terms of
460
00:22:58.100 --> 00:23:01.500
rosay, and it's very profitable and then
461
00:23:01.500 --> 00:23:04.400
you can communicate the other way around. Oh, you
462
00:23:04.400 --> 00:23:07.200
know, we generate low operating margins. We don't
463
00:23:07.200 --> 00:23:10.000
take much more from our customers and so on
464
00:23:10.300 --> 00:23:13.400
and so forth and it works now you remember I wanted
465
00:23:13.400 --> 00:23:16.100
to discuss two subjects which in my opinion are quite
466
00:23:16.100 --> 00:23:19.600
relevant the segments but also the financing first, what
467
00:23:19.600 --> 00:23:21.700
about the level of in depth in this?
468
00:23:22.300 --> 00:23:25.700
If you look at the gearing traditional figure structure
469
00:23:25.700 --> 00:23:28.500
that divided by Equity Equity market
470
00:23:28.500 --> 00:23:31.300
cap or Equity book. So a book gearing
471
00:23:31.300 --> 00:23:33.600
or Market gearing is less than one.
472
00:23:34.300 --> 00:23:37.300
So basically, it means that shareholders involve Mont is greater
473
00:23:37.300 --> 00:23:40.600
and bankers and bondholders involvement contribution.
474
00:23:40.600 --> 00:23:43.300
That's okay. Now how many years of a
475
00:23:43.300 --> 00:23:46.600
big does it take to repair that leverage net that
476
00:23:46.600 --> 00:23:48.100
divided by that? It's about four.
477
00:23:49.300 --> 00:23:52.200
Is it's acceptable or not? You know, it's a
478
00:23:52.200 --> 00:23:55.400
bit an illusion to say that four years of a bit are going
479
00:23:55.400 --> 00:23:58.300
to repetit because from there be die.
480
00:23:58.300 --> 00:24:01.500
You have to deduct interest taxes. He maintenance capex
481
00:24:01.500 --> 00:24:04.600
and so on so forth. So it's far from being available to repair the
482
00:24:04.600 --> 00:24:07.700
debt, but is it acceptable maybe because
483
00:24:07.700 --> 00:24:10.900
we are in a business, which is absolutely phenomenal and
484
00:24:10.900 --> 00:24:12.000
the beta is low.
485
00:24:13.100 --> 00:24:16.400
But what is very interesting is to consolidate the cash
486
00:24:16.400 --> 00:24:18.500
flow statements over a few years?
487
00:24:19.400 --> 00:24:22.500
The calculation I made is from 2016 to
488
00:24:22.500 --> 00:24:23.900
2021 six years.
489
00:24:24.500 --> 00:24:27.800
And then in billion euros, what does it say the cash
490
00:24:27.800 --> 00:24:30.800
flow statement starts with a bidder accumulated a
491
00:24:30.800 --> 00:24:33.400
bit 56 57 billion.
492
00:24:34.100 --> 00:24:37.400
Working capital requirement increase from 20
493
00:24:37.400 --> 00:24:40.200
to 40 days. It caught the company
494
00:24:40.200 --> 00:24:43.500
something like 8 billion how much money is
495
00:24:43.500 --> 00:24:46.500
available funds from operations to actually pay the
496
00:24:46.500 --> 00:24:50.100
interest in contractile and the taxes legal. Well
497
00:24:49.100 --> 00:24:52.200
48 now if you take
498
00:24:52.200 --> 00:24:55.200
interest in taxes, it's a bit more than 10 how much
499
00:24:55.200 --> 00:24:58.100
is available to invest 37.5.
500
00:24:59.100 --> 00:25:02.900
We decided 7.5 billion. What do you do do you
501
00:25:02.900 --> 00:25:06.200
invest? Yes, Capital expenditures 34
502
00:25:05.200 --> 00:25:08.300
billion over the period and that's great
503
00:25:08.300 --> 00:25:11.300
because the cash flow which is generated by the company from its business
504
00:25:11.300 --> 00:25:14.300
operations. Exceeds what the company's investing in
505
00:25:14.300 --> 00:25:17.500
its capital expenditures. And how much is left about 3
506
00:25:17.500 --> 00:25:20.200
billion to do what to do. What is consistent with
507
00:25:20.200 --> 00:25:23.300
your financial strategy returning cash to share orders and
508
00:25:23.300 --> 00:25:26.400
managing your balancing how much cash is returned
509
00:25:26.400 --> 00:25:30.000
to shareholders more than 23 billion
510
00:25:29.400 --> 00:25:33.300
dividends. You remember 70%
511
00:25:32.300 --> 00:25:35.400
dividend payout ratio, and in
512
00:25:35.400 --> 00:25:38.800
addition to that almost each and every year the company's buying
513
00:25:38.800 --> 00:25:41.200
back its shares for 10
514
00:25:41.200 --> 00:25:44.300
billion euros over the last six years. So you
515
00:25:44.300 --> 00:25:47.700
understand that with your three billion of free cash flow. It doesn't
516
00:25:47.700 --> 00:25:50.500
close the final thing. Why do you need you need external
517
00:25:50.500 --> 00:25:51.900
financing of 20 billion?
518
00:25:52.700 --> 00:25:55.700
Of course, it does not come from Equity. It comes
519
00:25:55.700 --> 00:25:58.400
from debt and bankers who do 50% of the
520
00:25:58.400 --> 00:26:00.300
job 10 billion. How much is left 10?
521
00:26:01.200 --> 00:26:04.600
And where does it come from how it does not come from Equity. It
522
00:26:04.600 --> 00:26:08.200
does not come from that. It comes from something which is in between hybrid,
523
00:26:07.200 --> 00:26:11.700
which is named preferred subordinated bonds.
524
00:26:12.600 --> 00:26:15.400
Almost each and every years is last years and now
525
00:26:15.400 --> 00:26:18.700
it's more than 8 billion accumulated. The company
526
00:26:18.700 --> 00:26:22.000
is to Preferred subordinated bones.
527
00:26:21.800 --> 00:26:24.300
So it's a dad which looks
528
00:26:24.300 --> 00:26:28.300
like Equity. Let's take an example of 2021 three
529
00:26:27.300 --> 00:26:29.500
tranches during the year.
530
00:26:30.500 --> 00:26:33.600
Of about 2.7 2.8 billion
531
00:26:33.600 --> 00:26:36.300
dollars the coupons for the first five
532
00:26:36.300 --> 00:26:41.100
years depend on the transfer some reasons from 1.45%
533
00:26:39.100 --> 00:26:43.700
to 1.8 25%
534
00:26:42.700 --> 00:26:45.700
after this first period
535
00:26:45.700 --> 00:26:48.400
of five years, it's written in a bone. It's returned a
536
00:26:48.400 --> 00:26:51.200
contract. There will be an upside adjustment of the cost of
537
00:26:51.200 --> 00:26:51.500
that.
538
00:26:52.400 --> 00:26:55.800
Of course the company as a possibilities, he's
539
00:26:55.800 --> 00:26:58.200
sure as a possibility not to pay the coupon.
540
00:26:58.900 --> 00:27:01.100
But then the coupon is going to be capitalized.
541
00:27:02.100 --> 00:27:05.300
And if you want to pay a dividend you have to pay the coupon first.
542
00:27:06.100 --> 00:27:09.200
So you understand that there is quite a motivation to pay the coupon
543
00:27:09.200 --> 00:27:11.400
because you want to pay dividend to your shareholders.
544
00:27:12.100 --> 00:27:15.700
There is no contract or Redemption commitment Etc.
545
00:27:15.700 --> 00:27:18.800
Even though there is a kind of motivation to repay the
546
00:27:18.800 --> 00:27:22.000
bonds reasonably shortly because of
547
00:27:21.300 --> 00:27:23.300
the increase in the coupon.
548
00:27:24.500 --> 00:27:27.200
But you understand that it's a kind of hybrid instrument. It's
549
00:27:27.200 --> 00:27:30.400
not exactly Equity. It's not exactly that. It's
550
00:27:30.400 --> 00:27:34.200
regarded as quasi Equity the
551
00:27:33.200 --> 00:27:37.000
good news. As far as a rating is concerned. It's
552
00:27:36.800 --> 00:27:39.200
excluded from the gearing so the
553
00:27:39.200 --> 00:27:42.400
dead valid by Equity now, it's not in the
554
00:27:42.400 --> 00:27:45.600
dead. It is in the equity because it's cause
555
00:27:45.600 --> 00:27:48.600
I equity and what is in my opinion quite
556
00:27:48.600 --> 00:27:52.600
strange in terms of accounting communication is
557
00:27:51.600 --> 00:27:54.500
that the company does not devote a
558
00:27:54.500 --> 00:27:57.600
specific line in the balance sheet for these preferred support in
559
00:27:57.600 --> 00:28:00.800
the bones this simply include they preferred
560
00:28:00.800 --> 00:28:03.800
support in it Bonds in a non-controlling interest
561
00:28:03.800 --> 00:28:06.500
in a minority change, right speaking. What
562
00:28:06.500 --> 00:28:09.900
do you put in a minority interest imagine that you acquire 90%
563
00:28:09.900 --> 00:28:13.300
of the shares of a company you consolidate 100%
564
00:28:12.300 --> 00:28:15.600
but you own only 19% So
565
00:28:15.600 --> 00:28:18.500
what are you going to do? You're going to put 10% of the equity
566
00:28:18.500 --> 00:28:21.700
somewhere between the long term life liability on
567
00:28:21.700 --> 00:28:23.800
the equity of your company is known controlling interest.
568
00:28:24.300 --> 00:28:27.300
Here it is in the minor which interests it
569
00:28:27.300 --> 00:28:30.000
is in a non-controlling interest, which is quite strange in terms of
570
00:28:30.600 --> 00:28:31.300
accounting communication.
571
00:28:32.200 --> 00:28:35.300
That's it. Now, what about the use of fonts? If you
572
00:28:35.300 --> 00:28:38.400
look at the cash flow statements, you have the answer, of course the company
573
00:28:38.400 --> 00:28:41.500
in the past has generated enough cash flows from operations
574
00:28:41.500 --> 00:28:44.200
to finance Capital expenditures, but the company
575
00:28:44.200 --> 00:28:47.700
wants to accelerate investment in Renewables. So the
576
00:28:47.700 --> 00:28:50.400
use of phones could be to prepare the
577
00:28:50.400 --> 00:28:53.500
accelerated investment now it's to
578
00:28:53.500 --> 00:28:54.700
return cash to shareholders.
579
00:28:55.500 --> 00:28:58.300
So in fact, it's a debt. It's a dead
580
00:28:58.300 --> 00:29:01.300
because there is some interest and it is an
581
00:29:01.300 --> 00:29:04.900
interest which has to be paid if you want to distribute some dividend
582
00:29:04.900 --> 00:29:08.000
to your shareholders, so it's not exactly contractual interest,
583
00:29:07.300 --> 00:29:10.700
but there is a strong commitment to pay that so in
584
00:29:10.700 --> 00:29:11.800
my opinion it's that
585
00:29:12.300 --> 00:29:15.700
so it's about increasing debt without deteriorating the
586
00:29:15.700 --> 00:29:18.500
gearing so you increase that without increasing
587
00:29:18.500 --> 00:29:20.200
debts in the calculation of the ratios.
588
00:29:21.300 --> 00:29:24.200
I have a mixed feeling about that now. What is a role of
589
00:29:24.200 --> 00:29:24.600
the board?
590
00:29:25.300 --> 00:29:28.400
It's written somewhere in the annual report main activities
591
00:29:28.400 --> 00:29:31.300
of the board of directors key topics in
592
00:29:31.300 --> 00:29:34.100
2021 about financial stretch. You remember
593
00:29:34.100 --> 00:29:37.800
ESG plus F. This is the F. What were
594
00:29:37.800 --> 00:29:40.100
the keys three topics as they looked at
595
00:29:40.100 --> 00:29:44.200
in 2021? Oh itsuance of a green hybrid Bond
596
00:29:43.200 --> 00:29:46.600
great. You are green company. You're issuing
597
00:29:46.600 --> 00:29:50.000
green bonds. Number three monitoring the key financial indicators.
598
00:29:49.300 --> 00:29:52.700
Why is this quite normal for board of directors? You
599
00:29:52.700 --> 00:29:55.200
look at the return Capital Revenue the cash
600
00:29:55.200 --> 00:29:58.500
flow and so on so forth kpis and what is interesting is
601
00:29:58.500 --> 00:30:01.800
a circle one reduction in share
602
00:30:01.800 --> 00:30:04.300
Capital reducing. The share capital
603
00:30:04.300 --> 00:30:07.400
is not increase a robustness of the company. It's
604
00:30:07.400 --> 00:30:10.600
not increase the final so strength of the company. It is
605
00:30:10.600 --> 00:30:13.600
maximizing things or shareholders return for the shareholders
606
00:30:13.600 --> 00:30:16.200
because when you return the cash to
607
00:30:16.200 --> 00:30:19.500
shareholders you reduce their involvement and as
608
00:30:19.500 --> 00:30:22.400
a consequence, it's a return capital is more
609
00:30:22.400 --> 00:30:24.800
than the interest rate your profit from a
610
00:30:25.300 --> 00:30:28.300
returning which is his name The Leverage effect.
611
00:30:29.100 --> 00:30:32.400
So the financial strength of the Japanese forget it is
612
00:30:32.400 --> 00:30:35.700
a total shareholders return for the investors.
613
00:30:36.500 --> 00:30:39.200
That's a little bit curious. Let me propose you
614
00:30:39.200 --> 00:30:40.500
now a few conclusions.
615
00:30:41.300 --> 00:30:44.600
20 years ago there was a strategic conviction and
616
00:30:44.600 --> 00:30:48.300
vision which is ESG renewable energy
617
00:30:47.300 --> 00:30:50.800
and so on. It was absolutely great
618
00:30:50.800 --> 00:30:53.600
because not everybody was absolutely
619
00:30:53.600 --> 00:30:56.200
convinced at that time far from
620
00:30:56.200 --> 00:30:59.500
that they won the bet. It's an extremely
621
00:30:59.500 --> 00:31:03.000
outstanding success on a ESG
622
00:31:02.100 --> 00:31:05.100
point of view on a financial point of view
623
00:31:05.100 --> 00:31:06.500
because the company is performing.
624
00:31:07.700 --> 00:31:10.800
Now today is a strong charismatic leader.
625
00:31:11.500 --> 00:31:14.200
Very strong personality 72 years
626
00:31:14.200 --> 00:31:18.100
old when a person is so representative
627
00:31:17.100 --> 00:31:20.300
of the company and of its
628
00:31:20.300 --> 00:31:23.500
Evolution. You understand that sometimes there might
629
00:31:23.500 --> 00:31:26.000
be a problem which is who he's going to
630
00:31:26.100 --> 00:31:29.500
be as a successor. And remember is 72 years
631
00:31:29.500 --> 00:31:32.500
old. The second point is about the financial strategy.
632
00:31:33.100 --> 00:31:36.600
It looks a little bit more like private Equity
633
00:31:36.600 --> 00:31:39.500
than financial robustness for the long
634
00:31:39.500 --> 00:31:43.300
term in my opinion. So ESG plus
635
00:31:43.300 --> 00:31:47.000
F. ESG great. Absolutely. No
636
00:31:46.200 --> 00:31:50.200
doubt F so far. Absolutely. Yes
637
00:31:49.200 --> 00:31:52.400
tomorrow. That might
638
00:31:52.400 --> 00:31:53.100
be a question mark
639
00:31:54.400 --> 00:31:55.100
Thank you very much.
Hello on welcome to this educational film which is devoted to a company which combines environmental excellence and financial performance.
So there was a company is ebadiola.
It's not the first film which we devote to energy and transition in energy.
The first one was about the partnership of nowhere and Tesla in Australia in order to support the electricity grid locally, which is showing some deficiencies.
The second one was devoted to orstead the Danish company in Scandinavia.
Number one in windmills, by the way, birdola is number two in the windmill business, but it is more than that.
It is a very successful bet in what is his name clean energy.
At the very beginning of the story there is a gentleman a charismatic leader whose name is in.
Yes, your Ghana the person was born in 1950.
He received iron engineering education started business in an excellent institution whose name is ikady in Spain, and he also studied international business international trade.
During five years when he was the CEO of Airtel Mobile in Spain.
He became very aggressive number two against the number one who's name is a telephonica as a telecommunication operator history when Airtel mobile was sold.
It was proposed to become the number one at iberto.
He's been leading this position see you on chairman of the board since 2001 and the objective was now to confront the number one in Spain not in telecommunication operators, but in the electricity business the no one Spain walls and Desa.
This person has a conviction and this conviction leads to a strategy there's a conviction and the vision is we have to ditch we have to get rid of fossil fuels and we have to completely focus on clean energy.
Now this strategic Vision Wars absolutely implemented if you look a little bit at the past of ibadwala, the company is created in 1992.
It's a merger between two historical energy operators in Spain.
Of course, the roots are much older than that, but in 1992, it is starting as hebertola.
The company is based in Bilbao.
It's a Basque country in Spain and he's ridiculous country always had very difficult relationship with a central government in Madrid will have discussion later on about that now and yes, your Kalan is appointed in 2001.
And what is he going to do? He's going to transform the companies through Acquisitions external grows and capex internal Rose.
So he's going to purchase by a number of companies complimenting that by 100 30 billion euros invested in renewable energy acquisition started in 2001 a little bit in North America United States and also in Latin America, which is a normal development for companies originated in Spain.
The very critical turning point of the company is the acquisition in 2006 for 17.2 billion euros of Scottish Power Scottish Power.
Very much space in the UK.
That's quite normal as a very important footprint in North America and is very well known for his Excellence is technical excellence in wind farm management.
That's absolutely phenomenal for the company because they acquires his knowledge the acquire footprint in the United States, which is quite significant much more than the first one which had been developed in 2001 and they are going to extend in North America with the acquisition of energy East in 2008 for all most five billion dollars, then it's going to be complemented by an older acquisition and merger with uel all day in 2015 creation and immediately sting of Alvin greed.
Avon greed is now a company which is listed on a New York Stock Exchange the value of the companies about 16.5 billion dollars and still control by ibadoura.
There will be further Acquisitions in Australia for example in 2020 in fijen, but there's very interesting point.
Which is in 2020 the company also wants to acquire P&M.
Everything is okay, but it's going to be rejected by the US regulatory authorities because they say are you know, what among other problems there are some legal problems involving a bedroller and its top manager Mr.
Kalan and it's true that ebirtual I had some business relation with a consulting firm whose ethical values.
We're absolutely not guaranteed to say the least.
Now where does a bird roller stand today? If you look at the S&P Global Energy company ranking, the company is number eight worldwide, which is absolutely outstanding development.
Number two in wind farms behind orstead.
You're remember I already mentioned that in 2021 revenues are 38 billion euros a bit da represents 30% of revenues about 12 billion.
the total assets for the companies were 40 billion euros, which is a consequence of huge investment and you understand immediately that the business is very Capital intensive if you confront assets and revenues Capex in 2021 more than six billion euros and bottom line their earnings 4 billion.
So the big question is Which percentage of this 4 billion is reinvested is retaining the company so that you can find on drugs.
The dividend Powers ratio is 70% So your retain 30% 30% of 4 billion is 1.2.
It's far from financing the six billion plus of capital expenditures.
Of course, it would be a question about financial structure.
Of course, it will be a question about the level of in-deptness of the company will discuss that towards the end of the film.
Now that's about financial metrics.
If you look at ESG performance, it's absolutely great widely recognized absolutely fantastic performance on the environment point of view distinctions ratings and so on so forth.
Absolutely, no doubt about that Net Zero Target for Europe 20 30 Net Zero Target for the world 2050 in order to raise his targets a company has a communicated subjectives which have been approved by the sbti consistent with an increase in temperature by 1.5 degrees.
I Belize in nuclear.
He's in wind farms.
I already mentioned but also called generation Sora hydroelectric growing very much in hydrogen.
What is very interesting in their communication is that we are ASG plus f So we are not F.
We are not ESG.
We are both we are combination ESG means environment and f means financial robustness Financial strengths.
So it's not environment that the expense of financial metrics.
It's not Finance whatever the consequences on ESG now, it's both together, which is absolutely great.
Now the company says we are Global energy leader.
No, there are international.
They are not completely Global if you look at the map you understand that 400,000 people are directly or indirectly working for Allah.
But they are mostly in Spain normal.
UK Scottish Power a little bit in Australia and very much in North America and in Brazil.
So they are not completely Global even though the company has very much developed throughout the years.
Now.
Let's have a look at some traditional Financial metrics revenues browse revenues are up over about 10 years from 30 billion to 40 billion euros.
It's an average of about three four five percent Grows Right.
There's a little bit of volatility in a growth rate, which is due to Energy prices.
Nothing wrong with that the companies operating in three segments one is named liberalized you produce energy you produce electricity in a library ice Market producing also energy through Renewables and renewable segment is absolutely fundamental it consume plenty of capex.
So segment is about Distributing electricity through its own network and you all remember this concept or smart great.
Now if you want to have a look at the relative weight of one segment against each other you understand that the one which is 50% of the revenues is laboralized or it was 60.
It's down to 50 but it's still quite strong in in the country.
If you look at Renewables, it's growing little by little and network is growing more or less.
Right? But what is still dominant is liberalized and what is growing is renewable and renewable is in the middle of the picture.
Now you understand that the company sales are growing but the level of return on sales also is growing in parallel with the revenues EPT on sales is up.
So it's not only BDA which is up but as a percentage to revenues it's up and revenues are up.
There's a company is very successful in terms of return on sales.
Look at the evolution of the operating expenses.
You understand that they are reasonably stable.
Sometimes a little bit sometimes a little bit down except supplies for the cost of sales, which is of course a bit more volatile because it's about energy which itself is not very stable in terms of prices.
Now you remember that it be that is up.
So the difference is depreciating an amortizing the capital expenditures.
Of course, they move in parallel directions, but what is quite interesting is to observe that a bit versus a bit.
That's about 10% And the Precision amortizations about 10% to revenues so the company is spending a lot in depreciation amortization as a consequence of investment.
It's also quite interesting to observe the evolution of industrial investment at the company if you calculate capex as a percentage of revenues historically, it's about 16% There is a ratio which I always enjoy very much calculating and observing.
It's intensity Capital expenditures today divided by depreciation, which is a consequence of capital expenditures yesterday.
Now, if You observe the ratio, you understand that Karen capex is 15% more than depreciation, which is past capex.
The capital is investing and investing and investing consequence Capital intensity.
You remember that in a capital employed you have non-current assets and you have your model Monet, which is invested in the cash conversion cycle inventory is plus receivables minus payables.
And if You observe what happened your rings the last almost 10 years right You observe that the cash conversion cycle walls up inventory is quite stable but accounts receivable accounts payable a little bit down and then stabilizing.
So you understand that today you have about 40 days of cash conversion cycle.
When it was on layer 20 days sometime ago.
The consequence is quite a lot of billion euros in a working capital requirement.
We'll see that later on.
Now if you combine non-current assets and working capital requirement, you have the capital employed traditionally we divide revenues by Capital employed to get the assets turnover, which is a metric which measures the assets productivity of the company.
If you look at the past it was 0.5.
And now it's 0.4 as a consequence of huge investment and a little bit of deterioration of the cash conversion cycle.
But if you look at the revenues generated by one Euro invested in property plant and Equipment, but it's quite stable.
So all in all it's about investing in capex, but it is also investing quote in the cash conversion cycle.
We'll discuss that a little bit later on.
not return on capital is the return on sales 20% but multiplied by an assets turnover, which is 0.4.
If you multiply 20% by 0.4 you get a percent which is a return on Capital employed generated by the company today.
So, of course when you sell for one year row you make 20 cents of operating profit, but if you invest one Euro in capital employed in business operations, you generate only 40 cents of revenues.
So if you make 20% of 40 cents, you generate eight cents out of the one Euro invested in business operations, there is eight percent.
That's fine.
And that's fine because it's quite stable because the beta the capital is low because it's cost of capital is relatively lower will discuss that a little bit later and so the company's performing but it is not as performing as what could be suggested by high return on sales.
It's very traditional for Capital intensive businesses.
You remember strong statement Corporate Finance what creates value is performance? So how do we calculate relative value creation to price value divided by Capital employed Market to book? And to price value is market cap number of shares multiplied by stock price.
It's a value of equity.
We add the value of that.
We divide that by Capital employed which was financed by equity and debt.
Basically, if it's more than one it means that there is value creation less than one value distraction.
And what do we observe for a virtual the same as for every company? I showed you in different videos a strong correlation between Market to book which is relative value creation and economic performance, which is returned Capital employee.
But it's not enough to observe this correlation.
We also have to try to find out what should be the market to book assuming that the company is stable not growing G is 0 cash flows are stable.
What should be the market to book the market to book should be if you remember the formula as a return on Capital after that we've added bad or what then we have to calculate the walk.
To calculate the work.
We observe the evolution of the stock price against the evolution stock market index Madrid Stock Exchange ibex35 And you understand that there are two periods one period with a good correlation up to 2016-2017 and a kind of decoration starting in 2017.
Now when you calculate the beta econometrically You observe exactly the same story the beta was one up to a certain moment.
It went downstairs but 0.5 then you calculate the way the average cost of capital you take Market weddings for equity and that you calculate the apparent interest rate, which you multiply by one minus the apprent tax rate cost of that after tax cost of equity government bone, right Plus Market risk premium 6 point something for Spain multiplied by a beta which starts at the level of one and then goes down to 0.5.
And I calculated a walk which before tax is about four to four point five percent.
That's quite interesting because the company's communicating on its work before tax as well for the impairment test.
And if you look at the list, it's a bit more.
It's a bit less than 4% But basically we are in same range of magnitude.
That's fine.
So basically if the rose say is eight percent and it's a walk is 4% before tax.
The market to book should be two which is what we observe here on the graph and it should be up as a consequence of the rosie which is doing well and so on so forth, but at the end of the day the market to book is just a little bit of one when there is a difference between the market to book no growth and the market to book act wall.
What does it mean it means that either the market is stupid and has not yet understood that it should be higher or because the market does not trust the ability of the Rose day of the company to be sustainable.
So the market some doubts about the sustainability of the financial performance of The Firm.
In order to have a look at that we need to go through two very relevant subjects first.
We are going to make a deep dive into the segments segment by segment.
And then we are going to have a look at the financial strategy of the company not only the level of adaptedness but also the nature of financing you remember there are three segments one is liberalized.
The second line is about to Renewables.
And the third one is about Network and distribution.
What is very interesting is to look at the ebida to sales and revenues per segment.
You remember the long term stable evolution of the ebda to revenues but there are huge differences from one segment to the other if you look at the liberalized business, it's not very profitable.
If you look at Renewables, it's outstanding profitability traditionally quotes.
It's about 60% which is quite big in 2021.
It's skyrocketed to 90% Plus.
consequence of the evolution of selling prices for renewable energy So you understand that there are huge discrepancies from one segment to the other.
The consequence of the high return on sales is a conflict with a Spanish government Madrid government says some companies are taking advantage of the situation energy crisis on the imposing excess profits on the poorest and etc.
Etc.
So we are going to create tax.
That's a normal reaction.
We create tax whenever it's possible.
There will be a strong quote response from the CEO.
So Co has a very very strong personality okay is very charismatic leader and here whether you see on the picture it's annual report 2021 cop 26 in Glasgow the prime minister of Scotland Madam Nicolas sturgeon and the CEO of ibadwala in yashokalan, so they are together in on the picture and what is mentioned is first CEO sagonda prime minister.
And the pictures whether you have all you have all your words and recognitions that are out for the company column on the left column on the right all the walls and recognitions, which we attributed to the chairman.
So you understand that the person is very happy of himself.
And there is a little bit the beginning of the cult of the personality probably.
Now let's go back to the segments of course renewable is very profitable but renewable is consuming tons of cash for Capital expenditures.
You remember 130 billion that represents capex divided by revenues of 60 80 sometimes more.
So, of course, you have to generate huge EBT in order to finance huge capex.
Now the consequence of low capex for liberalized a big capex for Renewables is yeah says turnover is exactly the other way around of course liberalized is capital intensive, but Euro invested in business is generating a Europe revenues.
Now a Euro invested in Renewables is generating revenues of 15 cents.
So it's extremely Capital intensive the assets turnover is dramatically low, then we can calculate a kind of return on asset for each and every segment.
Of course, we should calculate Rosé a bit divided by Capital employed we have the bit but we don't have the capital employed for each segment.
We have a segment asset which is much bigger.
So instead of taking the ability, let's take a bit up and we can calculate the kind of return I said, it'd be divided by segment assets.
And then why do we get we get something which is quite interesting up to 2020.
What was more profitable? Well liberalized and the less profitable was Renewables, even though they beta was 60% of revenues.
Then it crossed and in 2021 because it's a huge increase in saying price for Renewables.
Then renewable is the largest return asset contributor and liberalize is a lowest but you understand that we are in a very traditional situation which is named the DuPont.
No more formula.
The rose is not a return on sales.
It's a return system multiplied by the assets to an over which is about the assets productivity.
So when you are operating in a very capital-intensive business energy utilities telecommunication operators infrastructure of any kind, then you must generate a very significant operating margin.
In order to compensate very low assets turnover.
And what is quite interesting to observe in terms of communication is that you are going to be criticized for the high level of commercial profitability.
Why is it so because a number of people don't know the difference between return sets and return Capital, but the number of people they know that but politically speaking it's absolutely dramatic to say look at these people.
They make a 60% operating margin.
At the end of the day this economically wrong, but it works on a communication point of view.
It is the other way around when you are in a light business such as distribution in which you don't need huge manufacturing footprint.
Then you understand that you can afford reasonably low operating margin and still be very profitable because the assets turnover is very high.
If you take a company like Walmart, the operating income is 4% but the assets turnover is five and five multiplied by 4 is 20% in terms of rosay, and it's very profitable and then you can communicate the other way around.
Oh, you know, we generate low operating margins.
We don't take much more from our customers and so on and so forth and it works now you remember I wanted to discuss two subjects which in my opinion are quite relevant the segments but also the financing first, what about the level of in depth in this? If you look at the gearing traditional figure structure that divided by Equity Equity market cap or Equity book.
So a book gearing or Market gearing is less than one.
So basically, it means that shareholders involve Mont is greater and bankers and bondholders involvement contribution.
That's okay.
Now how many years of a big does it take to repair that leverage net that divided by that? It's about four.
Is it's acceptable or not? You know, it's a bit an illusion to say that four years of a bit are going to repetit because from there be die.
You have to deduct interest taxes.
He maintenance capex and so on so forth.
So it's far from being available to repair the debt, but is it acceptable maybe because we are in a business, which is absolutely phenomenal and the beta is low.
But what is very interesting is to consolidate the cash flow statements over a few years? The calculation I made is from 2016 to 2021 six years.
And then in billion euros, what does it say the cash flow statement starts with a bidder accumulated a bit 56 57 billion.
Working capital requirement increase from 20 to 40 days.
It caught the company something like 8 billion how much money is available funds from operations to actually pay the interest in contractile and the taxes legal.
Well 48 now if you take interest in taxes, it's a bit more than 10 how much is available to invest 37.5.
We decided 7.5 billion.
What do you do do you invest? Yes, Capital expenditures 34 billion over the period and that's great because the cash flow which is generated by the company from its business operations.
Exceeds what the company's investing in its capital expenditures.
And how much is left about 3 billion to do what to do.
What is consistent with your financial strategy returning cash to share orders and managing your balancing how much cash is returned to shareholders more than 23 billion dividends.
You remember 70% dividend payout ratio, and in addition to that almost each and every year the company's buying back its shares for 10 billion euros over the last six years.
So you understand that with your three billion of free cash flow.
It doesn't close the final thing.
Why do you need you need external financing of 20 billion? Of course, it does not come from Equity.
It comes from debt and bankers who do 50% of the job 10 billion.
How much is left 10? And where does it come from how it does not come from Equity.
It does not come from that.
It comes from something which is in between hybrid, which is named preferred subordinated bonds.
Almost each and every years is last years and now it's more than 8 billion accumulated.
The company is to Preferred subordinated bones.
So it's a dad which looks like Equity.
Let's take an example of 2021 three tranches during the year.
Of about 2.7 2.8 billion dollars the coupons for the first five years depend on the transfer some reasons from 1.45% to 1.8 25% after this first period of five years, it's written in a bone.
It's returned a contract.
There will be an upside adjustment of the cost of that.
Of course the company as a possibilities, he's sure as a possibility not to pay the coupon.
But then the coupon is going to be capitalized.
And if you want to pay a dividend you have to pay the coupon first.
So you understand that there is quite a motivation to pay the coupon because you want to pay dividend to your shareholders.
There is no contract or Redemption commitment Etc.
Even though there is a kind of motivation to repay the bonds reasonably shortly because of the increase in the coupon.
But you understand that it's a kind of hybrid instrument.
It's not exactly Equity.
It's not exactly that.
It's regarded as quasi Equity the good news.
As far as a rating is concerned.
It's excluded from the gearing so the dead valid by Equity now, it's not in the dead.
It is in the equity because it's cause I equity and what is in my opinion quite strange in terms of accounting communication is that the company does not devote a specific line in the balance sheet for these preferred support in the bones this simply include they preferred support in it Bonds in a non-controlling interest in a minority change, right speaking.
What do you put in a minority interest imagine that you acquire 90% of the shares of a company you consolidate 100% but you own only 19% So what are you going to do? You're going to put 10% of the equity somewhere between the long term life liability on the equity of your company is known controlling interest.
Here it is in the minor which interests it is in a non-controlling interest, which is quite strange in terms of accounting communication.
That's it.
Now, what about the use of fonts? If you look at the cash flow statements, you have the answer, of course the company in the past has generated enough cash flows from operations to finance Capital expenditures, but the company wants to accelerate investment in Renewables.
So the use of phones could be to prepare the accelerated investment now it's to return cash to shareholders.
So in fact, it's a debt.
It's a dead because there is some interest and it is an interest which has to be paid if you want to distribute some dividend to your shareholders, so it's not exactly contractual interest, but there is a strong commitment to pay that so in my opinion it's that so it's about increasing debt without deteriorating the gearing so you increase that without increasing debts in the calculation of the ratios.
I have a mixed feeling about that now.
What is a role of the board? It's written somewhere in the annual report main activities of the board of directors key topics in 2021 about financial stretch.
You remember ESG plus F.
This is the F.
What were the keys three topics as they looked at in 2021? Oh itsuance of a green hybrid Bond great.
You are green company.
You're issuing green bonds.
Number three monitoring the key financial indicators.
Why is this quite normal for board of directors? You look at the return Capital Revenue the cash flow and so on so forth kpis and what is interesting is a circle one reduction in share Capital reducing.
The share capital is not increase a robustness of the company.
It's not increase the final so strength of the company.
It is maximizing things or shareholders return for the shareholders because when you return the cash to shareholders you reduce their involvement and as a consequence, it's a return capital is more than the interest rate your profit from a returning which is his name The Leverage effect.
So the financial strength of the Japanese forget it is a total shareholders return for the investors.
That's a little bit curious.
Let me propose you now a few conclusions.
20 years ago there was a strategic conviction and vision which is ESG renewable energy and so on.
It was absolutely great because not everybody was absolutely convinced at that time far from that they won the bet.
It's an extremely outstanding success on a ESG point of view on a financial point of view because the company is performing.
Now today is a strong charismatic leader.
Very strong personality 72 years old when a person is so representative of the company and of its Evolution.
You understand that sometimes there might be a problem which is who he's going to be as a successor.
And remember is 72 years old.
The second point is about the financial strategy.
It looks a little bit more like private Equity than financial robustness for the long term in my opinion.
So ESG plus F.
ESG great.
Absolutely.
No doubt F so far.
Absolutely.
Yes tomorrow.
That might be a question mark Thank you very much.