May 2024 Educational Film // Paramount: Mission Impossible ?
The collapse of a film giant
A detailed portrait of the film and TV giant Paramount, which is on the verge of being sold off because its management preferred to return lavish dividends rather than develop the essential digital streaming that is the basis of the entertainment revolution.
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Hello and welcome to this film which is devoted
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to a very famous company in the history
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of cinema Paramount.
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The company is currently experiencing business, economic
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and financial difficulties
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and unfortunately bouncing back might pro
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to be mission impossible for the firm.
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As a matter of fact, the story of the camp is a saga,
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is a movie by itself that mergers with the history of sign
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It start with Adolf Kar, uh, Hungarian immigrants.
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He arrived in New York in 1888
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and he started working in a four business.
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He made his fortune in a four trade
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and then generated some savings
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and invested in savings turning to cinema via the al
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or the precursors of the movie theaters.
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What does it mean? Audience Ion means place, sight,
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premise and nikal.
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You put a nikal in the box and you get music, short movies
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and so on and so forth.
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This is a precursor again of movie theaters.
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He invested and he made money out of that.
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Then he started producing films in 1912,
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he created a company which is famous players
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because he truly believed that the quality
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of a film is the player he invited.
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The most famous actress available at that time, s
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to play in the first movies, the lots
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of Queen Elizabeth 1913.
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But of course you have to produce great movies,
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but you have to distribute that.
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This is why he participated to the foundation of Paramount
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in 1914 in charge of distributing the fields
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and it took 10% equity with the intention to get
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to control, which he did by the way,
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because in 1916, as a consequence of default merges
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zoo core takes the control of parameters
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and then is in charge of producing
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and distributing integrated value shape.
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There will be plenty stars at the very beginning
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and this is why by the way, the logo
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of Paramount is a mountain in HTA state
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surrounded by stars.
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The stars are the players, so it's a period of style,
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a growth with very well known players such as Mary Pixel,
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Gloria Swenson, Ru Fino.
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There will be a period of prosperity in growth up to 1928
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and that's the ad of a period.
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That's a start of a seven period with a chunk.
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Now actors are talking
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and in the meantime the same year the company is taking a
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50% equity stake in Columbia broadcasting the
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famous CBS.
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We'll see a little bit later in the stories
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that CBS will be another interaction a year later we are in
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1929, stock market crisis, economic crisis.
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The campaign will experience difficulty.
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Somebody's going to try to make it bouncing back.
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His name is Mr. Herz
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and he made his fortune out of car leasing in 1973.
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It doesn't work anymore when the company goes into
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bankruptcy, but the bankruptcy won't last long.
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In fact, the company will restart again as very quickly
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with a list of very famous actors.
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Gary Cooper, Marlon Trench, Val in my west
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B Crosby is a Mars bra, WC Fields, et cetera.
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And the company went also start a new business which is
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animated films with a so well-known Popeye
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in 1935.
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The company is able to go back to the market.
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Then there will be a few difficulties.
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One difficulty is uh, about leagues of virtue
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and morality, which is going to force the company to
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rewrite a little bit of production code because my West
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and Betty Bob are not exactly how they should be
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and so they will have to change a bit the way they are
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dressed in order to improve the picture.
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I know the fight, but they will lose this fight is in 1948.
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They are forced to break out antitrust Act.
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They are not allowed to be in production
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and distribution completely integrated, so they have
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to split and it's a creation
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of Paramount television network.
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Again in 1948, a few years later,
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a very strange company, his name is Golf on Western.
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It's going to buy Paramount in 1966
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and it's a very curious industrial conglomerate with mining,
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with sugar production, different various industries
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and they are going to buy paramount.
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Nobody understands why,
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but they are going to be very, very successful.
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A list of, again, fantastic mur, Rosemary's baby
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love story, the Godfather 1, 2, 3, et cetera.
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Chinatown with Jack Nickolson three days a Congo breakfast
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at Tiffany in 1967.
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They are going to get into the TV business
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because TV is a very big competitor which is identified
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for the movie business, for the cinema business.
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They are going to buy de
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and they are going to start TV series,
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but they are going to start in a room.
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Star Trek, mission Impossible, Manix at the A
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of the TV team, there's a list of outstanding managers,
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Michael Eisner who is going
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to be later on the CEO of Disney.
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Jeffrey Katzenberg, who is going to go through Disney
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and become Dreamworks, CEO outstanding people
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and they are going to very much develop the TV business,
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which is going to be successful.
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An important date in the life
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of Paramount is the acquisition of the car
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by Viacom In 1993, Viacom is going
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to buy Paramount 50.1% of the shares
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for $10 billion to then the value of the companies
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between nine and 10 billion for 100% of the shares
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and Viacom is the CBS enterprises.
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The companies in charge of broadcasting CBS is in charge
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of also managing channels such as Nick Ode
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and a very famous editor Simon and Schuster.
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Simon and Schuster was sold quite recently by Paramount
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to reduce the debt of the cab cheese too high
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with this za there in 2000, Viacom is going
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to buy its parent company CBS.
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They're going to run the business
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together during a few years.
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There will be a split de merge in 2005 then
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stabilization, then they merge again in 2019.
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She says, well, when you look at the graph of the evolution
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of revenues of paramount in a long term, starting in 1980,
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it looks a little bit strange
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because at the very beginning it's only
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about film production.
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Then acquisition by Viacom stabilization, Viacom
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by CBS then splits, then mergers.
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You understand that to build consistent series
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of data in total to make some financial analysis is limited.
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But today the revenues,
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the annual revenues happen is $30 billion.
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We'll discuss the split in a few minutes now.
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Viacom is the work of a man whose name is signer Ray Stone,
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a personality, a character.
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I would say he was born in 1923
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and he passed away in 2020 at the age of 97.
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In fact, he was absolutely convinced that he would never die
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because in his life he experienced a very dramatic moment
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when he was about to die
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and he recovered kind of miracle.
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This is why in 2014 he's interviewed
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by journalist from the Hollywood reporter
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and the journalist says, uh, Mr.
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Reston, you are 91 years old. What about your succession?
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And he says, there's no discussion about my succession.
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You know why I'm not going to die.
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And he's mentioning his diet, his very strict diet,
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GoGy berries, tomato juice, fish, and each
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and every day in evening a shot of vodka.
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Unfortunately it did not work
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and at the end he passed away in again 2020.
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He had a very turbulent times
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and he could have been a very important target for me too
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because of his turbulent times,
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but he was also very impetuous character.
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One day he sacked Tom crude. Why?
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Because he was a little bit disagreeing
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with his behavior in a TV show
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and he was upset by the fact that he was quite close
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to the Scientology
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and so he said him Some narrate though on the asset side has
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plenty of fantastic achievers, but there is liability.
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There is a failure. Somewhere at the very
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beginning he's a juris.
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He was educated as a jurist
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but he did not want to become a lawyer.
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He said, I don't want to observe.
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I want to act, create unproduced. And he created something.
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He was a co-creator of what is named the multiplexes.
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In fact, he gave the name of Multiplexes,
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which is a fantastic innovation in a cinema
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and he was always saying, content is king.
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This is why you can sack Tom Cruise.
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It is opinion even though it was the most bankable actor at
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that time because the scenario,
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the writing is more important than the
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player, than the actor.
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Content is king. In final we say cash is keying.
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It used to say contact is king.
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Now you Viacom in 1987, a very interesting period.
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We are in the middle of this decay of the emergence
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of the market for corporate control.
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Plenty of hostile takeover everywhere, finance
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by junk boats.
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The King of John Bolts is Michael Micken.
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He's a chief trader and a very well known person in the bag.
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DBL Drexel Bernham Lambert, DBL.
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Later on will fail, we go bankrupt
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and Michael Micken will have some difficulties with uh,
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justice about potential your training,
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but at that time it's a very famous process to raise
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that in order to buy companies host, I take over
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leverage buyout, it's going to be a great success.
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So that's about the achievement,
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but there is a very big failure.
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Something is emerging, which is about streaming digitization
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and you know what is going to completely fail the picture.
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It's going to be a very late start.
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When you are late you have
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to invest more than your competitors to start getting back
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to the state, getting back to the leadership position
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and in fact it was not a success at all.
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Today there are three segments at Paramount.
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One is a tv, media with television
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and cable networks streaming direct
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to customer is a second segment
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and third one is a very historical one about producing film,
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film entertainment.
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TV media is about CBS. It's about Paramount Media Network.
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It's about a very successful music TV channel, which is MTV
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Direct customer is streaming Paramount plus
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and very much focusing on sport, soccer,
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golf, et cetera.
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What about film and entertainment
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and outstanding chat along 10 common months?
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Some years ago Titanic for Gum Breakfast Act,
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funny which I already mentioned.
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The Godfather, I already mentioned Vertigo, H C**k, the man
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who shot Liberty Balance, one
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of the most prominent western movies, Raiders
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of Lost Ark in Indiana, Jones, et cetera, et cetera.
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So the catalog has a fantastic value,
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but about the production
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and about the revenues, it's not fantastic at all.
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When you look at the evolution of the revenues by segment,
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what you observe, two thirds of the 30 billion,
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so $20 billion are generated by TV media.
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It was a little bit up up to 2021
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and then it's gradually down
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and it's probably quite predictable that TV is not going
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to be the business of the next decade.
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What about production,
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field production, filament entertainment?
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It's quite stable.
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Pluses and minuses depending on the success
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of the films which are producing.
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What is one a unique source of growth is streaming
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and streaming is probably the future of the company in terms
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of revenues, but unfortunately so far as far
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as profitability is concerned, it's dramatic.
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If you look at the different EBITDA by segmenting percentage
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to revenues, what you observe is TV media
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ulus 2% in operating profitability each and every year.
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What about film? It's breakeven plus minus.
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And what about streaming? It's a source of losses.
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It is difficult to make the business grow.
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You have to invest a lot
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and as you have not yet achieved economies of scale,
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the EBITDA is a negative percentage to revenues
257
00:14:01.895 --> 00:14:04.035
and it's difficult to get to break even.
258
00:14:04.455 --> 00:14:07.435
Now in this business you have small competitors.
259
00:14:08.335 --> 00:14:12.715
One is Netflix, 260 million subscribers,
260
00:14:13.415 --> 00:14:16.635
33.7 billion of revenues
261
00:14:16.655 --> 00:14:19.915
and a profit almost $7 billion of profit.
262
00:14:20.815 --> 00:14:24.395
Number two, not that far in terms of number of subscribers,
263
00:14:24.775 --> 00:14:27.475
Disney with 200 million subscribers,
264
00:14:28.255 --> 00:14:30.355
but if you understand that you have to multiply
265
00:14:30.415 --> 00:14:33.555
by 1.3 the number of subscribers to move from Disney
266
00:14:33.735 --> 00:14:36.275
to Netflix, you have to multiply by 1.6
267
00:14:36.275 --> 00:14:40.115
to move from revenues, Disney revenues to Netflix revenues,
268
00:14:40.615 --> 00:14:44.235
and in fact the capital is generating only $20 billion
269
00:14:44.415 --> 00:14:47.195
of streaming revenues and losses.
270
00:14:47.975 --> 00:14:50.275
And that's one of the difficulties today of Disney.
271
00:14:50.665 --> 00:14:53.805
It's very difficult to break even in a streaming industry.
272
00:14:53.805 --> 00:14:57.205
Netflix, das, Disney, not yet.
273
00:14:57.515 --> 00:14:59.125
Paramount, definitely not.
274
00:14:59.435 --> 00:15:02.725
Paramount is just one third of Netflix in terms of number
275
00:15:02.725 --> 00:15:06.125
of subscribers and it's one third of Disney in terms
276
00:15:06.125 --> 00:15:08.645
of revenues, but it's not one third
277
00:15:08.825 --> 00:15:10.565
of the losses of this net.
278
00:15:10.875 --> 00:15:13.845
It's about 60% of the losses of this net
279
00:15:14.065 --> 00:15:16.965
and in fact the capital generating very big losses.
280
00:15:17.305 --> 00:15:19.005
Why? Because it's far behind
281
00:15:19.585 --> 00:15:22.765
and then you cannot amortize your fixed cost if the revenues
282
00:15:22.765 --> 00:15:25.845
are too low, even though you have a capitals quality is
283
00:15:26.325 --> 00:15:27.845
matching with Disney quality.
284
00:15:28.705 --> 00:15:31.845
That's really what is struggling at the moment for the C.
285
00:15:32.625 --> 00:15:35.165
Now if you go back to the evolution of revenues
286
00:15:35.165 --> 00:15:38.445
and ebitda, it's again quite difficult to analyze,
287
00:15:38.505 --> 00:15:41.485
but there is something which is absolutely sure the maximum
288
00:15:41.945 --> 00:15:45.045
EBITDA was generated in 2019
289
00:15:45.865 --> 00:15:49.245
and then starting in 2020 it collapsed.
290
00:15:49.545 --> 00:15:53.205
And today the ibitda is absolutely Neil.
291
00:15:54.605 --> 00:15:56.265
Now you see Ibitda is Neil.
292
00:15:56.525 --> 00:16:00.185
It means that the return on sales is absolutely zero,
293
00:16:00.525 --> 00:16:03.545
but you remember the DUP Paul in formula return capital
294
00:16:04.375 --> 00:16:05.945
ibit divided by capital
295
00:16:06.085 --> 00:16:09.145
and private is a combination of commercial profitability,
296
00:16:09.285 --> 00:16:11.265
return on sales multiplied by assets.
297
00:16:11.265 --> 00:16:15.065
Productivity return on sales is current EBIT
298
00:16:15.065 --> 00:16:16.425
divided by revenues.
299
00:16:16.425 --> 00:16:20.265
Current EBIT is EBIT without any extraordinary items
300
00:16:21.825 --> 00:16:22.945
multiplied by assets.
301
00:16:23.345 --> 00:16:25.665
Turnover assets. Turnover is revenues divided
302
00:16:25.805 --> 00:16:27.945
by invested capital, fixed assets
303
00:16:28.245 --> 00:16:29.905
and working capital requirement.
304
00:16:30.555 --> 00:16:32.585
Fixed assets are big for two reasons.
305
00:16:32.675 --> 00:16:36.025
First, you have plenty of intangible assets films.
306
00:16:36.365 --> 00:16:39.465
Second, because of acquisitions and so on and so forth.
307
00:16:39.485 --> 00:16:41.185
You also have plenty of good work.
308
00:16:41.565 --> 00:16:44.505
So interestingly, the assets turnover of the company
309
00:16:45.205 --> 00:16:46.225
is less than one.
310
00:16:46.335 --> 00:16:48.705
It's quite capital intensive business.
311
00:16:49.445 --> 00:16:51.345
So at first, like if you look at the commercial
312
00:16:51.345 --> 00:16:53.065
profitability, you're going to say, well,
313
00:16:53.335 --> 00:16:54.465
it's quite volatile
314
00:16:54.465 --> 00:16:56.825
because the business is quite volatile by itself,
315
00:16:57.205 --> 00:17:00.905
but the maternal sales is within a range which is 10 to 20%.
316
00:17:01.325 --> 00:17:03.425
It looks okay, it looks okay,
317
00:17:03.425 --> 00:17:05.505
but return on sales is not return capital
318
00:17:06.045 --> 00:17:08.425
and return on sales by 0.4
319
00:17:08.445 --> 00:17:11.225
to one is less than the return on sales.
320
00:17:11.365 --> 00:17:14.785
And then the the return capital is not outstanding
321
00:17:15.765 --> 00:17:18.905
and during the last years it is not outstanding.
322
00:17:19.245 --> 00:17:21.545
It is collapsing, declining.
323
00:17:21.645 --> 00:17:25.185
And today return capital is near you.
324
00:17:25.545 --> 00:17:27.465
Remember that there is a strong correlation
325
00:17:27.465 --> 00:17:30.385
between economic performance return capital employed
326
00:17:30.805 --> 00:17:32.665
and relative value creation.
327
00:17:33.285 --> 00:17:34.705
We calculate the market book,
328
00:17:34.705 --> 00:17:37.585
which is enterprise value divided by capital employed,
329
00:17:38.365 --> 00:17:40.785
but the price value is market capitalization.
330
00:17:40.785 --> 00:17:43.825
Market value equity plus net debt
331
00:17:44.325 --> 00:17:45.865
and capital employed is the amount
332
00:17:45.865 --> 00:17:47.865
of money which we invested in business operations.
333
00:17:48.645 --> 00:17:50.965
Now the evolution of market to book is the evolution
334
00:17:50.965 --> 00:17:52.605
of your stock market credibility
335
00:17:52.905 --> 00:17:55.085
and there's a strong correlation between the Rosie
336
00:17:55.185 --> 00:17:56.205
and market to book
337
00:17:56.205 --> 00:17:59.685
because what drives value creation relative
338
00:17:59.685 --> 00:18:02.605
and absolute value creation is the economic performance.
339
00:18:03.265 --> 00:18:06.925
And it's true for any company including paramount,
340
00:18:07.505 --> 00:18:09.125
it you observe in the long term.
341
00:18:09.275 --> 00:18:13.125
This coronation, it works very well and for today it works.
342
00:18:13.125 --> 00:18:15.605
During the last years, the process collapsing,
343
00:18:15.605 --> 00:18:17.005
the market will is collapsing.
344
00:18:17.345 --> 00:18:20.245
The stock price is dramatically declining.
345
00:18:21.185 --> 00:18:22.205
If you look at the evolution
346
00:18:22.205 --> 00:18:24.765
of the stock price throughout the years, you understand
347
00:18:24.765 --> 00:18:28.045
that there was a period up to 2014,
348
00:18:28.425 --> 00:18:29.805
the stock price went up
349
00:18:30.225 --> 00:18:34.525
and then it stabilized with some volatility, it went down
350
00:18:35.445 --> 00:18:38.925
dramatic drop because of covid, then up because of streaming
351
00:18:38.985 --> 00:18:42.205
and then down in the meantime the nasda,
352
00:18:42.665 --> 00:18:45.165
the stock market index is up.
353
00:18:45.625 --> 00:18:48.765
But important, the paramount is absolutely not correlated at
354
00:18:48.765 --> 00:18:51.285
that time with the NASDAQ and it's falling.
355
00:18:51.715 --> 00:18:52.965
It's interesting to observe
356
00:18:52.965 --> 00:18:54.845
what the capital is doing with its cash.
357
00:18:55.795 --> 00:18:58.325
When you generate cash you can invest in
358
00:18:58.385 --> 00:19:00.205
or you can return at least part of it
359
00:19:00.205 --> 00:19:01.965
to your below shareholders.
360
00:19:02.755 --> 00:19:06.565
What happened during the period 2013 to 2023,
361
00:19:07.145 --> 00:19:11.085
the company returned $4.7 billion under the flow
362
00:19:11.145 --> 00:19:14.645
of dividends, but the company bought back its shares
363
00:19:14.705 --> 00:19:17.325
for $14.3 billion.
364
00:19:17.985 --> 00:19:20.565
You make the sum and you get 19 billion.
365
00:19:20.705 --> 00:19:24.405
So they return to shareholders, $19 billion cash
366
00:19:25.045 --> 00:19:26.405
dividend and share buyback.
367
00:19:26.905 --> 00:19:29.845
In the many times there was a capital increase in 2021
368
00:19:29.845 --> 00:19:31.805
because the cap had to reduce its debt.
369
00:19:32.185 --> 00:19:35.405
So the net shareholder return, shareholder return net
370
00:19:35.465 --> 00:19:37.885
of capital increase is 16 billion.
371
00:19:38.545 --> 00:19:42.045
So it's about $16 billion in the pocket of the shareholders.
372
00:19:42.105 --> 00:19:44.165
But what about evolution of the market?
373
00:19:44.225 --> 00:19:48.005
Capitalization of the capital, number of shares multiplied
374
00:19:48.105 --> 00:19:49.125
by stock price?
375
00:19:49.475 --> 00:19:52.605
Well, in 2013 the market capitalization was about
376
00:19:52.605 --> 00:19:54.325
38, 30 9 billion.
377
00:19:55.225 --> 00:19:59.885
And in 2024 today it's about nine to 10 billion.
378
00:20:00.705 --> 00:20:04.405
So the delta has a difference is $29 billion.
379
00:20:04.505 --> 00:20:07.965
So the market cap went down by $29 billion.
380
00:20:08.425 --> 00:20:10.925
So on the one hand you return 16 billion.
381
00:20:11.345 --> 00:20:14.405
On the other hand the wealth is down by 29,
382
00:20:14.825 --> 00:20:18.805
the net loss in terms of shareholder value creation,
383
00:20:19.105 --> 00:20:22.845
the net loss for the shareholders is $13 billion.
384
00:20:24.015 --> 00:20:27.745
This is what happens by the way, when you return the cash
385
00:20:27.745 --> 00:20:31.305
to shareholders instead of investing in the developed bond
386
00:20:31.325 --> 00:20:33.705
and the sustainability of your business operations.
387
00:20:33.805 --> 00:20:35.705
Now when you return the cash to the shareholders,
388
00:20:35.775 --> 00:20:37.425
what happens to your financial structure?
389
00:20:38.295 --> 00:20:39.985
Cash out debt is up.
390
00:20:40.645 --> 00:20:44.225
So gearing debt divided by equity is quite up
391
00:20:44.725 --> 00:20:46.985
and debt divided by EBITDA is named.
392
00:20:47.045 --> 00:20:49.165
The financial leverage is also up.
393
00:20:49.905 --> 00:20:53.325
The financial leverage is how many euro of EBIT tax
394
00:20:53.385 --> 00:20:56.805
to repairs the loan, which is a favorite scoring ratio,
395
00:20:56.805 --> 00:20:58.485
ratio and indicator for the banks
396
00:20:58.705 --> 00:21:00.245
and for the rating in geneid.
397
00:21:00.305 --> 00:21:04.085
By the way, now only the EBIT dies down if you have debt,
398
00:21:04.425 --> 00:21:07.445
the debt to EBITDA is mechanically up
399
00:21:08.225 --> 00:21:12.205
and as far as her amount is concerned to the EBITDA is meal.
400
00:21:12.545 --> 00:21:16.485
So the leverage is infinite, but the year before it was 12
401
00:21:16.625 --> 00:21:18.365
and the year before it was eight.
402
00:21:19.065 --> 00:21:21.725
So you understand that the financial leverage,
403
00:21:21.785 --> 00:21:24.005
the financial structure of the company is
404
00:21:24.195 --> 00:21:25.685
extremely aggressive.
405
00:21:26.065 --> 00:21:27.245
Why? Not?
406
00:21:27.245 --> 00:21:28.805
Because they invested but
407
00:21:28.805 --> 00:21:30.725
because they return the cash to the shareholders.
408
00:21:31.465 --> 00:21:34.085
The rating engine says they don't like that very much.
409
00:21:34.905 --> 00:21:36.205
In March this year,
410
00:21:36.455 --> 00:21:41.205
standalone pulls downgraded the company from triple B minus
411
00:21:41.865 --> 00:21:45.125
to double B plus is just one notch,
412
00:21:45.145 --> 00:21:46.645
but a very important notch
413
00:21:46.645 --> 00:21:49.485
because you move from investment grade to speculative grade.
414
00:21:50.265 --> 00:21:52.125
So the cost of that is going to be higher.
415
00:21:52.585 --> 00:21:54.765
And if you want to renew your debt, it's going
416
00:21:54.765 --> 00:21:56.885
to be a tough job because the liquidity is
417
00:21:56.885 --> 00:21:58.285
collapsing with a rating.
418
00:21:59.505 --> 00:22:02.845
Stable perspective is good news, but that's it.
419
00:22:03.035 --> 00:22:04.045
What about Fitch?
420
00:22:04.215 --> 00:22:06.285
Fitch keeps the triple B minus,
421
00:22:07.065 --> 00:22:11.125
but downgrades the perspective from stable to negative.
422
00:22:11.185 --> 00:22:14.205
So the rating agencies are not convinced
423
00:22:14.205 --> 00:22:16.965
that the company is in a very good situation as far
424
00:22:17.145 --> 00:22:19.805
as bonds, as far as debt is concern.
425
00:22:20.985 --> 00:22:24.005
Now today the person who is in charge of the company
426
00:22:24.145 --> 00:22:28.165
who owns the cannot company is the daughter of Sunner,
427
00:22:28.165 --> 00:22:30.165
Redstone, Sherry Redstone.
428
00:22:30.425 --> 00:22:33.925
And the question is what do you do in such a situation?
429
00:22:33.945 --> 00:22:37.845
You can try to bounce it back or you try to sell
430
00:22:38.105 --> 00:22:40.845
and if you want to sell, are you going to sell pieces
431
00:22:41.015 --> 00:22:44.285
after pieces or are you going to sell as a block?
432
00:22:44.825 --> 00:22:47.285
Do you accept the dismantling of the group?
433
00:22:47.705 --> 00:22:50.045
And in fact she says, I don't want to dismantle
434
00:22:50.115 --> 00:22:52.445
what my father did and so on so forth.
435
00:22:52.745 --> 00:22:54.605
But at the end of the day you have
436
00:22:54.605 --> 00:22:56.205
to accept the market as it is.
437
00:22:57.335 --> 00:23:01.155
Now the question is what do you sell when you sell Paramount
438
00:23:01.735 --> 00:23:04.275
and then you have to deep dive into the shareholding
439
00:23:04.515 --> 00:23:05.555
structure of the company.
440
00:23:05.725 --> 00:23:08.875
There are 653 million shares outstanding.
441
00:23:09.015 --> 00:23:12.355
So standing out of the company existing shares minus
442
00:23:13.155 --> 00:23:16.115
treasury stock, and you remember the company bought
443
00:23:16.115 --> 00:23:17.315
back plenty of it stock.
444
00:23:17.815 --> 00:23:19.035
But what is interesting is
445
00:23:19.035 --> 00:23:21.355
that there are two categories of shares.
446
00:23:21.715 --> 00:23:26.035
A shares B shares A shares just 41 million shares,
447
00:23:26.695 --> 00:23:28.555
one voting right per share.
448
00:23:29.395 --> 00:23:34.275
B shares 612 million shares, no voting rights at all.
449
00:23:34.735 --> 00:23:37.475
So you understand that the power is concentrated into
450
00:23:37.535 --> 00:23:38.635
the A shares.
451
00:23:40.055 --> 00:23:43.595
Mrs. Reon owes a company which is a family holding
452
00:23:44.215 --> 00:23:49.085
and which is near National Amusement Incorporated NI.
453
00:23:49.865 --> 00:23:52.085
She holds 100% of NI
454
00:23:52.345 --> 00:23:56.805
and NI holds 77.4%
455
00:23:56.905 --> 00:24:00.165
of PERS A shares at Thes a day.
456
00:24:00.275 --> 00:24:02.365
77.4%
457
00:24:02.365 --> 00:24:06.685
of AHA is about 31.7 million shares out
458
00:24:06.685 --> 00:24:11.605
of 653 it's about 5% of the total number of shares.
459
00:24:12.305 --> 00:24:14.885
But if you have 5% of the shares,
460
00:24:15.265 --> 00:24:18.405
you have 77.4% of the voting right?
461
00:24:18.545 --> 00:24:21.165
It looks like Snapchat in some sense.
462
00:24:21.465 --> 00:24:24.285
Now they have always been discussions about selling
463
00:24:24.425 --> 00:24:25.725
or not selling Paramount,
464
00:24:25.785 --> 00:24:28.845
but it seems that the story is accelerating at the moment.
465
00:24:29.305 --> 00:24:32.565
Offers have been accelerating since January.
466
00:24:33.275 --> 00:24:34.725
January 31.
467
00:24:35.295 --> 00:24:39.325
Allen Media Group makes an offer for enterprise value.
468
00:24:39.515 --> 00:24:43.325
Capital employed $30 billion on the stock market.
469
00:24:43.385 --> 00:24:46.245
The enterprise value at that time is 24 billion.
470
00:24:46.425 --> 00:24:47.725
So there's a premium,
471
00:24:48.785 --> 00:24:52.445
but uh, nobody is really sure about he the company is going
472
00:24:52.445 --> 00:24:53.805
to be able to finance
473
00:24:54.385 --> 00:24:57.405
and he says, oh, CA will be some named
474
00:24:58.085 --> 00:25:00.365
Strategic Partners, not that series.
475
00:25:01.125 --> 00:25:03.285
February 16, the announcement of a joint venture
476
00:25:03.395 --> 00:25:07.365
with Comcast Peacock in order to boost revenues
477
00:25:07.385 --> 00:25:08.925
and iCal scale.
478
00:25:09.625 --> 00:25:13.765
The first very serious offer is going to come from Apollo,
479
00:25:13.825 --> 00:25:15.645
the private investment firm.
480
00:25:16.065 --> 00:25:20.485
So Apollo one, March 23, it's got
481
00:25:20.485 --> 00:25:23.925
to be $11 billion but only for film
482
00:25:24.305 --> 00:25:28.725
and TV studios, not for TV media, not
483
00:25:28.745 --> 00:25:30.005
for the streaming activity.
484
00:25:30.305 --> 00:25:33.165
So it's an offer to dismantle the company.
485
00:25:33.475 --> 00:25:36.405
It's going to be rejected a few days later,
486
00:25:36.665 --> 00:25:38.845
the 31st of March, April over two.
487
00:25:39.585 --> 00:25:44.045
Now it's about 27 billion cash for Paramount Global
488
00:25:44.785 --> 00:25:48.205
all in one interesting moment on the 3rd of April
489
00:25:48.205 --> 00:25:51.045
and the KA is going to announce exclusive discussions
490
00:25:51.045 --> 00:25:52.885
with Skydance Media.
491
00:25:53.925 --> 00:25:55.965
Skydance Media is a company which was created
492
00:25:56.105 --> 00:26:00.965
by David Ellison, Larry Ellison's son, Larry Ellison.
493
00:26:00.965 --> 00:26:05.805
You remember Rockle founder and extremely wealthy person.
494
00:26:06.625 --> 00:26:08.125
But what is the deal about?
495
00:26:08.395 --> 00:26:12.525
It's about the acquisition of the shares, which are held
496
00:26:12.625 --> 00:26:15.245
by Share Range Stone in NI.
497
00:26:16.105 --> 00:26:19.845
So he's going to buy NI for $2 billion,
498
00:26:21.295 --> 00:26:23.195
not Paramount, just NI.
499
00:26:23.585 --> 00:26:26.595
Then there will be a share exchange between Paramount
500
00:26:26.655 --> 00:26:30.035
and Skydance, and Skydance is then valued at four
501
00:26:30.095 --> 00:26:34.895
to $5 billion with SCD Density is not a listed company.
502
00:26:35.045 --> 00:26:37.815
It's absolutely private, not liquid at all,
503
00:26:37.835 --> 00:26:39.775
and nobody knows exactly what is inside.
504
00:26:40.715 --> 00:26:43.565
And in addition to that, there will be a contribution,
505
00:26:44.105 --> 00:26:45.245
but to be defined
506
00:26:45.245 --> 00:26:49.245
and precise from Skylines to reduce the debt of Paramount
507
00:26:49.595 --> 00:26:53.325
with an amount of one, two or $3 billion.
508
00:26:54.345 --> 00:26:56.085
That's quite strange as a proposal,
509
00:26:56.505 --> 00:26:57.725
but the market will like it
510
00:26:58.105 --> 00:27:01.165
and the Paramount price is going to move up from 12
511
00:27:01.385 --> 00:27:04.405
to $13.50 per share.
512
00:27:05.225 --> 00:27:06.725
It is a market likes it.
513
00:27:06.785 --> 00:27:09.925
The minority shareholders of Angry High are
514
00:27:10.525 --> 00:27:12.525
absolutely outraged out of this offer.
515
00:27:13.215 --> 00:27:14.845
Let's make a Singapore calculation.
516
00:27:15.185 --> 00:27:18.405
31.7 million listed shares,
517
00:27:19.205 --> 00:27:23.205
B shares are worth $413 million.
518
00:27:24.065 --> 00:27:27.805
You see multiplies this figure by $13.50 per share,
519
00:27:28.625 --> 00:27:32.965
but for the 31.7 million shares owned
520
00:27:33.105 --> 00:27:37.605
by an AI share restaurant is going to be offered $2 billion.
521
00:27:37.825 --> 00:27:40.885
The difference between A and B shares are voting rights.
522
00:27:41.145 --> 00:27:42.805
So what makes a difference is the value
523
00:27:42.805 --> 00:27:43.885
of the voting rights.
524
00:27:44.025 --> 00:27:47.485
So 2 billion minus 400 million is 1.6 billion,
525
00:27:47.975 --> 00:27:50.205
which is four times the value
526
00:27:50.425 --> 00:27:52.845
of the stocks without voting, right?
527
00:27:52.875 --> 00:27:56.685
It's absolutely unbelievable is surrealistic.
528
00:27:57.195 --> 00:28:00.485
It's definitely over evaluation of voting rights
529
00:28:00.585 --> 00:28:04.725
and very largely there is also over evaluation of guidance.
530
00:28:05.645 --> 00:28:07.805
Guidance is concurring liquidity.
531
00:28:08.275 --> 00:28:12.085
It's a private company which goes listed simply exchanging
532
00:28:12.225 --> 00:28:14.325
shares between Paramount and Sky.
533
00:28:14.985 --> 00:28:17.525
And so it's going to be considered as a scandal
534
00:28:17.705 --> 00:28:20.245
by the minority shareholders of the A shares
535
00:28:20.425 --> 00:28:23.045
and they are going to bring the story to the court.
536
00:28:23.505 --> 00:28:25.445
In the meantime, there were a few accidents.
537
00:28:25.825 --> 00:28:27.325
The CEO of Paramount.
538
00:28:27.465 --> 00:28:30.485
Bob Batch was not that much in favor
539
00:28:30.505 --> 00:28:31.845
of the deal with guidance.
540
00:28:32.435 --> 00:28:35.765
Expressed some reservations about the deal
541
00:28:36.105 --> 00:28:40.245
and it was ousted by Sher Redstone on the 29th of April.
542
00:28:41.085 --> 00:28:42.885
A few other people left at that time.
543
00:28:42.885 --> 00:28:45.005
There were a few resignations from the board
544
00:28:45.005 --> 00:28:48.645
because at the end of the test deal is simply an acceptable,
545
00:28:48.935 --> 00:28:51.285
which has the latest news about the deal.
546
00:28:51.855 --> 00:28:54.965
There was a period of one month for exclusive discussions,
547
00:28:55.505 --> 00:28:57.285
end of exclusive negotiations,
548
00:28:58.065 --> 00:29:00.765
but we continue, we keep all the discussion
549
00:29:00.795 --> 00:29:02.205
with guidance and so on.
550
00:29:02.205 --> 00:29:05.485
So first the price is down from 13.5
551
00:29:05.505 --> 00:29:08.925
to $13 per share on the 3rd of May, apple low.
552
00:29:09.025 --> 00:29:11.405
Number three, there is another offer,
553
00:29:11.505 --> 00:29:13.245
but not Apollo by itself,
554
00:29:13.545 --> 00:29:16.805
but Apollo together with so pictures
555
00:29:17.425 --> 00:29:21.165
and then make an offer again in cash, not 27 billion,
556
00:29:21.305 --> 00:29:22.605
but 26 billion.
557
00:29:23.505 --> 00:29:27.485
And what is of interest for Sonic Pictures? The catalog.
558
00:29:28.785 --> 00:29:32.845
So definitely behind this acquisition there might be a kind
559
00:29:32.845 --> 00:29:37.005
of bracket, dismantling the catalog of fields might go
560
00:29:37.005 --> 00:29:38.085
to Summit pictures
561
00:29:38.665 --> 00:29:41.525
and probably Apollo would get the rest of it.
562
00:29:42.565 --> 00:29:43.835
These are the latest news.
563
00:29:44.175 --> 00:29:46.675
But when you look at the information of the stock price,
564
00:29:47.215 --> 00:29:50.075
the rhythm of the volution of the stock price is the rhythm
565
00:29:50.135 --> 00:29:54.155
of the offers made by the different actors on this stage,
566
00:29:54.405 --> 00:29:57.595
which is absolutely unbelievable when you observe that
567
00:29:58.705 --> 00:30:01.765
at the end of the day, we are at 13
568
00:30:02.745 --> 00:30:06.165
and two years ago we were in May, 2022.
569
00:30:06.305 --> 00:30:07.845
The price was not 13,
570
00:30:08.265 --> 00:30:11.645
it was $34 per share.
571
00:30:12.305 --> 00:30:14.965
So a number of investors are quite disappointed
572
00:30:15.265 --> 00:30:20.005
by the evolution in terms of shareholders value creation.
573
00:30:20.785 --> 00:30:22.685
In the list you have Warren Buffet,
574
00:30:22.795 --> 00:30:27.045
Berkshire Hadaway owes something like 10% of the shares.
575
00:30:27.245 --> 00:30:31.125
I said I lost a lot of money out of that. Why?
576
00:30:31.195 --> 00:30:33.925
Because the company failed the streaming.
577
00:30:34.195 --> 00:30:35.605
They started very late.
578
00:30:36.235 --> 00:30:38.605
They have the assets, they hold the assets,
579
00:30:38.605 --> 00:30:39.925
they have the catalog of it,
580
00:30:39.925 --> 00:30:41.805
which is absolutely prestigious,
581
00:30:42.305 --> 00:30:45.085
but by the end of the day you have to invest if you want
582
00:30:45.085 --> 00:30:48.125
to get back to the league on the tier one league.
583
00:30:48.585 --> 00:30:51.365
But if instead of doing that, you return the cash
584
00:30:51.365 --> 00:30:52.525
to shareholders, what happens?
585
00:30:53.105 --> 00:30:55.365
You don't invest, you return the cash
586
00:30:56.385 --> 00:30:59.325
and it does not create any value for the shareholders.
587
00:31:01.105 --> 00:31:03.825
Remember this sentence which I quote so often,
588
00:31:04.255 --> 00:31:08.185
Jeff Bezos annual report, Amazon each and every year.
589
00:31:08.285 --> 00:31:10.985
Letter to the shareholder, we will continue
590
00:31:10.985 --> 00:31:14.905
to make investment decisions in light
591
00:31:14.905 --> 00:31:18.545
of long-term market leadership considerations.
592
00:31:19.525 --> 00:31:22.025
And in fact, paramount lost this target
593
00:31:22.365 --> 00:31:24.385
of long-term market leadership.
594
00:31:25.055 --> 00:31:28.385
They looked at short term stock market considerations,
595
00:31:28.385 --> 00:31:29.945
such had maybe profit,
596
00:31:30.125 --> 00:31:33.625
but certainly shareholders return returning the cash
597
00:31:33.625 --> 00:31:36.985
to the shareholders and they miss the target of investing
598
00:31:37.125 --> 00:31:39.025
for the sustainability of the business.
599
00:31:39.685 --> 00:31:41.225
At the end of the day, you destroy
600
00:31:41.225 --> 00:31:42.265
value for the shareholders.
601
00:31:43.425 --> 00:31:44.175
Thank you very much.
Hello and welcome to this film which is devoted to a very famous company in the history of cinema Paramount.
The company is currently experiencing business, economic and financial difficulties and unfortunately bouncing back might pro to be mission impossible for the firm.
As a matter of fact, the story of the camp is a saga, is a movie by itself that mergers with the history of sign It start with Adolf Kar, uh, Hungarian immigrants.
He arrived in New York in 1888 and he started working in a four business.
He made his fortune in a four trade and then generated some savings and invested in savings turning to cinema via the al or the precursors of the movie theaters.
What does it mean? Audience Ion means place, sight, premise and nikal.
You put a nikal in the box and you get music, short movies and so on and so forth.
This is a precursor again of movie theaters.
He invested and he made money out of that.
Then he started producing films in 1912, he created a company which is famous players because he truly believed that the quality of a film is the player he invited.
The most famous actress available at that time, s to play in the first movies, the lots of Queen Elizabeth 1913.
But of course you have to produce great movies, but you have to distribute that.
This is why he participated to the foundation of Paramount in 1914 in charge of distributing the fields and it took 10% equity with the intention to get to control, which he did by the way, because in 1916, as a consequence of default merges zoo core takes the control of parameters and then is in charge of producing and distributing integrated value shape.
There will be plenty stars at the very beginning and this is why by the way, the logo of Paramount is a mountain in HTA state surrounded by stars.
The stars are the players, so it's a period of style, a growth with very well known players such as Mary Pixel, Gloria Swenson, Ru Fino.
There will be a period of prosperity in growth up to 1928 and that's the ad of a period.
That's a start of a seven period with a chunk.
Now actors are talking and in the meantime the same year the company is taking a 50% equity stake in Columbia broadcasting the famous CBS.
We'll see a little bit later in the stories that CBS will be another interaction a year later we are in 1929, stock market crisis, economic crisis.
The campaign will experience difficulty.
Somebody's going to try to make it bouncing back.
His name is Mr.
Herz and he made his fortune out of car leasing in 1973.
It doesn't work anymore when the company goes into bankruptcy, but the bankruptcy won't last long.
In fact, the company will restart again as very quickly with a list of very famous actors.
Gary Cooper, Marlon Trench, Val in my west B Crosby is a Mars bra, WC Fields, et cetera.
And the company went also start a new business which is animated films with a so well-known Popeye in 1935.
The company is able to go back to the market.
Then there will be a few difficulties.
One difficulty is uh, about leagues of virtue and morality, which is going to force the company to rewrite a little bit of production code because my West and Betty Bob are not exactly how they should be and so they will have to change a bit the way they are dressed in order to improve the picture.
I know the fight, but they will lose this fight is in 1948.
They are forced to break out antitrust Act.
They are not allowed to be in production and distribution completely integrated, so they have to split and it's a creation of Paramount television network.
Again in 1948, a few years later, a very strange company, his name is Golf on Western.
It's going to buy Paramount in 1966 and it's a very curious industrial conglomerate with mining, with sugar production, different various industries and they are going to buy paramount.
Nobody understands why, but they are going to be very, very successful.
A list of, again, fantastic mur, Rosemary's baby love story, the Godfather 1, 2, 3, et cetera.
Chinatown with Jack Nickolson three days a Congo breakfast at Tiffany in 1967.
They are going to get into the TV business because TV is a very big competitor which is identified for the movie business, for the cinema business.
They are going to buy de and they are going to start TV series, but they are going to start in a room.
Star Trek, mission Impossible, Manix at the A of the TV team, there's a list of outstanding managers, Michael Eisner who is going to be later on the CEO of Disney.
Jeffrey Katzenberg, who is going to go through Disney and become Dreamworks, CEO outstanding people and they are going to very much develop the TV business, which is going to be successful.
An important date in the life of Paramount is the acquisition of the car by Viacom In 1993, Viacom is going to buy Paramount 50.1% of the shares for $10 billion to then the value of the companies between nine and 10 billion for 100% of the shares and Viacom is the CBS enterprises.
The companies in charge of broadcasting CBS is in charge of also managing channels such as Nick Ode and a very famous editor Simon and Schuster.
Simon and Schuster was sold quite recently by Paramount to reduce the debt of the cab cheese too high with this za there in 2000, Viacom is going to buy its parent company CBS.
They're going to run the business together during a few years.
There will be a split de merge in 2005 then stabilization, then they merge again in 2019.
She says, well, when you look at the graph of the evolution of revenues of paramount in a long term, starting in 1980, it looks a little bit strange because at the very beginning it's only about film production.
Then acquisition by Viacom stabilization, Viacom by CBS then splits, then mergers.
You understand that to build consistent series of data in total to make some financial analysis is limited.
But today the revenues, the annual revenues happen is $30 billion.
We'll discuss the split in a few minutes now.
Viacom is the work of a man whose name is signer Ray Stone, a personality, a character.
I would say he was born in 1923 and he passed away in 2020 at the age of 97.
In fact, he was absolutely convinced that he would never die because in his life he experienced a very dramatic moment when he was about to die and he recovered kind of miracle.
This is why in 2014 he's interviewed by journalist from the Hollywood reporter and the journalist says, uh, Mr.
Reston, you are 91 years old.
What about your succession? And he says, there's no discussion about my succession.
You know why I'm not going to die.
And he's mentioning his diet, his very strict diet, GoGy berries, tomato juice, fish, and each and every day in evening a shot of vodka.
Unfortunately it did not work and at the end he passed away in again 2020.
He had a very turbulent times and he could have been a very important target for me too because of his turbulent times, but he was also very impetuous character.
One day he sacked Tom crude.
Why? Because he was a little bit disagreeing with his behavior in a TV show and he was upset by the fact that he was quite close to the Scientology and so he said him Some narrate though on the asset side has plenty of fantastic achievers, but there is liability.
There is a failure.
Somewhere at the very beginning he's a juris.
He was educated as a jurist but he did not want to become a lawyer.
He said, I don't want to observe.
I want to act, create unproduced.
And he created something.
He was a co-creator of what is named the multiplexes.
In fact, he gave the name of Multiplexes, which is a fantastic innovation in a cinema and he was always saying, content is king.
This is why you can sack Tom Cruise.
It is opinion even though it was the most bankable actor at that time because the scenario, the writing is more important than the player, than the actor.
Content is king.
In final we say cash is keying.
It used to say contact is king.
Now you Viacom in 1987, a very interesting period.
We are in the middle of this decay of the emergence of the market for corporate control.
Plenty of hostile takeover everywhere, finance by junk boats.
The King of John Bolts is Michael Micken.
He's a chief trader and a very well known person in the bag.
DBL Drexel Bernham Lambert, DBL.
Later on will fail, we go bankrupt and Michael Micken will have some difficulties with uh, justice about potential your training, but at that time it's a very famous process to raise that in order to buy companies host, I take over leverage buyout, it's going to be a great success.
So that's about the achievement, but there is a very big failure.
Something is emerging, which is about streaming digitization and you know what is going to completely fail the picture.
It's going to be a very late start.
When you are late you have to invest more than your competitors to start getting back to the state, getting back to the leadership position and in fact it was not a success at all.
Today there are three segments at Paramount.
One is a tv, media with television and cable networks streaming direct to customer is a second segment and third one is a very historical one about producing film, film entertainment.
TV media is about CBS.
It's about Paramount Media Network.
It's about a very successful music TV channel, which is MTV Direct customer is streaming Paramount plus and very much focusing on sport, soccer, golf, et cetera.
What about film and entertainment and outstanding chat along 10 common months? Some years ago Titanic for Gum Breakfast Act, funny which I already mentioned.
The Godfather, I already mentioned Vertigo, H C**k, the man who shot Liberty Balance, one of the most prominent western movies, Raiders of Lost Ark in Indiana, Jones, et cetera, et cetera.
So the catalog has a fantastic value, but about the production and about the revenues, it's not fantastic at all.
When you look at the evolution of the revenues by segment, what you observe, two thirds of the 30 billion, so $20 billion are generated by TV media.
It was a little bit up up to 2021 and then it's gradually down and it's probably quite predictable that TV is not going to be the business of the next decade.
What about production, field production, filament entertainment? It's quite stable.
Pluses and minuses depending on the success of the films which are producing.
What is one a unique source of growth is streaming and streaming is probably the future of the company in terms of revenues, but unfortunately so far as far as profitability is concerned, it's dramatic.
If you look at the different EBITDA by segmenting percentage to revenues, what you observe is TV media ulus 2% in operating profitability each and every year.
What about film? It's breakeven plus minus.
And what about streaming? It's a source of losses.
It is difficult to make the business grow.
You have to invest a lot and as you have not yet achieved economies of scale, the EBITDA is a negative percentage to revenues and it's difficult to get to break even.
Now in this business you have small competitors.
One is Netflix, 260 million subscribers, 33.7 billion of revenues and a profit almost $7 billion of profit.
Number two, not that far in terms of number of subscribers, Disney with 200 million subscribers, but if you understand that you have to multiply by 1.3 the number of subscribers to move from Disney to Netflix, you have to multiply by 1.6 to move from revenues, Disney revenues to Netflix revenues, and in fact the capital is generating only $20 billion of streaming revenues and losses.
And that's one of the difficulties today of Disney.
It's very difficult to break even in a streaming industry.
Netflix, das, Disney, not yet.
Paramount, definitely not.
Paramount is just one third of Netflix in terms of number of subscribers and it's one third of Disney in terms of revenues, but it's not one third of the losses of this net.
It's about 60% of the losses of this net and in fact the capital generating very big losses.
Why? Because it's far behind and then you cannot amortize your fixed cost if the revenues are too low, even though you have a capitals quality is matching with Disney quality.
That's really what is struggling at the moment for the C.
Now if you go back to the evolution of revenues and ebitda, it's again quite difficult to analyze, but there is something which is absolutely sure the maximum EBITDA was generated in 2019 and then starting in 2020 it collapsed.
And today the ibitda is absolutely Neil.
Now you see Ibitda is Neil.
It means that the return on sales is absolutely zero, but you remember the DUP Paul in formula return capital ibit divided by capital and private is a combination of commercial profitability, return on sales multiplied by assets.
Productivity return on sales is current EBIT divided by revenues.
Current EBIT is EBIT without any extraordinary items multiplied by assets.
Turnover assets.
Turnover is revenues divided by invested capital, fixed assets and working capital requirement.
Fixed assets are big for two reasons.
First, you have plenty of intangible assets films.
Second, because of acquisitions and so on and so forth.
You also have plenty of good work.
So interestingly, the assets turnover of the company is less than one.
It's quite capital intensive business.
So at first, like if you look at the commercial profitability, you're going to say, well, it's quite volatile because the business is quite volatile by itself, but the maternal sales is within a range which is 10 to 20%.
It looks okay, it looks okay, but return on sales is not return capital and return on sales by 0.4 to one is less than the return on sales.
And then the the return capital is not outstanding and during the last years it is not outstanding.
It is collapsing, declining.
And today return capital is near you.
Remember that there is a strong correlation between economic performance return capital employed and relative value creation.
We calculate the market book, which is enterprise value divided by capital employed, but the price value is market capitalization.
Market value equity plus net debt and capital employed is the amount of money which we invested in business operations.
Now the evolution of market to book is the evolution of your stock market credibility and there's a strong correlation between the Rosie and market to book because what drives value creation relative and absolute value creation is the economic performance.
And it's true for any company including paramount, it you observe in the long term.
This coronation, it works very well and for today it works.
During the last years, the process collapsing, the market will is collapsing.
The stock price is dramatically declining.
If you look at the evolution of the stock price throughout the years, you understand that there was a period up to 2014, the stock price went up and then it stabilized with some volatility, it went down dramatic drop because of covid, then up because of streaming and then down in the meantime the nasda, the stock market index is up.
But important, the paramount is absolutely not correlated at that time with the NASDAQ and it's falling.
It's interesting to observe what the capital is doing with its cash.
When you generate cash you can invest in or you can return at least part of it to your below shareholders.
What happened during the period 2013 to 2023, the company returned $4.7 billion under the flow of dividends, but the company bought back its shares for $14.3 billion.
You make the sum and you get 19 billion.
So they return to shareholders, $19 billion cash dividend and share buyback.
In the many times there was a capital increase in 2021 because the cap had to reduce its debt.
So the net shareholder return, shareholder return net of capital increase is 16 billion.
So it's about $16 billion in the pocket of the shareholders.
But what about evolution of the market? Capitalization of the capital, number of shares multiplied by stock price? Well, in 2013 the market capitalization was about 38, 30 9 billion.
And in 2024 today it's about nine to 10 billion.
So the delta has a difference is $29 billion.
So the market cap went down by $29 billion.
So on the one hand you return 16 billion.
On the other hand the wealth is down by 29, the net loss in terms of shareholder value creation, the net loss for the shareholders is $13 billion.
This is what happens by the way, when you return the cash to shareholders instead of investing in the developed bond and the sustainability of your business operations.
Now when you return the cash to the shareholders, what happens to your financial structure? Cash out debt is up.
So gearing debt divided by equity is quite up and debt divided by EBITDA is named.
The financial leverage is also up.
The financial leverage is how many euro of EBIT tax to repairs the loan, which is a favorite scoring ratio, ratio and indicator for the banks and for the rating in geneid.
By the way, now only the EBIT dies down if you have debt, the debt to EBITDA is mechanically up and as far as her amount is concerned to the EBITDA is meal.
So the leverage is infinite, but the year before it was 12 and the year before it was eight.
So you understand that the financial leverage, the financial structure of the company is extremely aggressive.
Why? Not? Because they invested but because they return the cash to the shareholders.
The rating engine says they don't like that very much.
In March this year, standalone pulls downgraded the company from triple B minus to double B plus is just one notch, but a very important notch because you move from investment grade to speculative grade.
So the cost of that is going to be higher.
And if you want to renew your debt, it's going to be a tough job because the liquidity is collapsing with a rating.
Stable perspective is good news, but that's it.
What about Fitch? Fitch keeps the triple B minus, but downgrades the perspective from stable to negative.
So the rating agencies are not convinced that the company is in a very good situation as far as bonds, as far as debt is concern.
Now today the person who is in charge of the company who owns the cannot company is the daughter of Sunner, Redstone, Sherry Redstone.
And the question is what do you do in such a situation? You can try to bounce it back or you try to sell and if you want to sell, are you going to sell pieces after pieces or are you going to sell as a block? Do you accept the dismantling of the group? And in fact she says, I don't want to dismantle what my father did and so on so forth.
But at the end of the day you have to accept the market as it is.
Now the question is what do you sell when you sell Paramount and then you have to deep dive into the shareholding structure of the company.
There are 653 million shares outstanding.
So standing out of the company existing shares minus treasury stock, and you remember the company bought back plenty of it stock.
But what is interesting is that there are two categories of shares.
A shares B shares A shares just 41 million shares, one voting right per share.
B shares 612 million shares, no voting rights at all.
So you understand that the power is concentrated into the A shares.
Mrs.
Reon owes a company which is a family holding and which is near National Amusement Incorporated NI.
She holds 100% of NI and NI holds 77.4% of PERS A shares at Thes a day.
77.4% of AHA is about 31.7 million shares out of 653 it's about 5% of the total number of shares.
But if you have 5% of the shares, you have 77.4% of the voting right? It looks like Snapchat in some sense.
Now they have always been discussions about selling or not selling Paramount, but it seems that the story is accelerating at the moment.
Offers have been accelerating since January.
January 31.
Allen Media Group makes an offer for enterprise value.
Capital employed $30 billion on the stock market.
The enterprise value at that time is 24 billion.
So there's a premium, but uh, nobody is really sure about he the company is going to be able to finance and he says, oh, CA will be some named Strategic Partners, not that series.
February 16, the announcement of a joint venture with Comcast Peacock in order to boost revenues and iCal scale.
The first very serious offer is going to come from Apollo, the private investment firm.
So Apollo one, March 23, it's got to be $11 billion but only for film and TV studios, not for TV media, not for the streaming activity.
So it's an offer to dismantle the company.
It's going to be rejected a few days later, the 31st of March, April over two.
Now it's about 27 billion cash for Paramount Global all in one interesting moment on the 3rd of April and the KA is going to announce exclusive discussions with Skydance Media.
Skydance Media is a company which was created by David Ellison, Larry Ellison's son, Larry Ellison.
You remember Rockle founder and extremely wealthy person.
But what is the deal about? It's about the acquisition of the shares, which are held by Share Range Stone in NI.
So he's going to buy NI for $2 billion, not Paramount, just NI.
Then there will be a share exchange between Paramount and Skydance, and Skydance is then valued at four to $5 billion with SCD Density is not a listed company.
It's absolutely private, not liquid at all, and nobody knows exactly what is inside.
And in addition to that, there will be a contribution, but to be defined and precise from Skylines to reduce the debt of Paramount with an amount of one, two or $3 billion.
That's quite strange as a proposal, but the market will like it and the Paramount price is going to move up from 12 to $13.50 per share.
It is a market likes it.
The minority shareholders of Angry High are absolutely outraged out of this offer.
Let's make a Singapore calculation.
31.7 million listed shares, B shares are worth $413 million.
You see multiplies this figure by $13.50 per share, but for the 31.7 million shares owned by an AI share restaurant is going to be offered $2 billion.
The difference between A and B shares are voting rights.
So what makes a difference is the value of the voting rights.
So 2 billion minus 400 million is 1.6 billion, which is four times the value of the stocks without voting, right? It's absolutely unbelievable is surrealistic.
It's definitely over evaluation of voting rights and very largely there is also over evaluation of guidance.
Guidance is concurring liquidity.
It's a private company which goes listed simply exchanging shares between Paramount and Sky.
And so it's going to be considered as a scandal by the minority shareholders of the A shares and they are going to bring the story to the court.
In the meantime, there were a few accidents.
The CEO of Paramount.
Bob Batch was not that much in favor of the deal with guidance.
Expressed some reservations about the deal and it was ousted by Sher Redstone on the 29th of April.
A few other people left at that time.
There were a few resignations from the board because at the end of the test deal is simply an acceptable, which has the latest news about the deal.
There was a period of one month for exclusive discussions, end of exclusive negotiations, but we continue, we keep all the discussion with guidance and so on.
So first the price is down from 13.5 to $13 per share on the 3rd of May, apple low.
Number three, there is another offer, but not Apollo by itself, but Apollo together with so pictures and then make an offer again in cash, not 27 billion, but 26 billion.
And what is of interest for Sonic Pictures? The catalog.
So definitely behind this acquisition there might be a kind of bracket, dismantling the catalog of fields might go to Summit pictures and probably Apollo would get the rest of it.
These are the latest news.
But when you look at the information of the stock price, the rhythm of the volution of the stock price is the rhythm of the offers made by the different actors on this stage, which is absolutely unbelievable when you observe that at the end of the day, we are at 13 and two years ago we were in May, 2022.
The price was not 13, it was $34 per share.
So a number of investors are quite disappointed by the evolution in terms of shareholders value creation.
In the list you have Warren Buffet, Berkshire Hadaway owes something like 10% of the shares.
I said I lost a lot of money out of that.
Why? Because the company failed the streaming.
They started very late.
They have the assets, they hold the assets, they have the catalog of it, which is absolutely prestigious, but by the end of the day you have to invest if you want to get back to the league on the tier one league.
But if instead of doing that, you return the cash to shareholders, what happens? You don't invest, you return the cash and it does not create any value for the shareholders.
Remember this sentence which I quote so often, Jeff Bezos annual report, Amazon each and every year.
Letter to the shareholder, we will continue to make investment decisions in light of long-term market leadership considerations.
And in fact, paramount lost this target of long-term market leadership.
They looked at short term stock market considerations, such had maybe profit, but certainly shareholders return returning the cash to the shareholders and they miss the target of investing for the sustainability of the business.
At the end of the day, you destroy value for the shareholders.
Thank you very much.